US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish65%
Weekly Downside probability 65%Bearish

ASML 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,635.7 and stabilize above resistance $2,000.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2,000 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -49.529

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $132.26 (8.83%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,588.4Bearish
EMA 21$1,635.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,505.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -49.529

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $132.26 · BB 25.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.6 · OBV -30.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,248.1 - $2,000

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.42% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$2,132.2
Nearest resistance

+33.59% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2,000
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,497.1
Nearest support

-16.63% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,248.1
Deeper support zone

-25.47% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$1,115.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,364.9 - $1,629.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,873.5, invalidation $1,575.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 20.1 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,096.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,645.9 / $1,473Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.26 (8.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.98%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,916.4 / $1,357.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,364.9 / $1,629.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,248.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-49.529Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,873.5, invalidation $1,575.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 20.1 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,096.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,645.9 / $1,473Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-49.529Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$132.26 (8.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.98%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,916.4 / $1,357.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,364.9 / $1,629.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,248.1Range

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