US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish70%
Daily Downside probability 70%Bearish

ASML 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,744.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,873.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,873.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.2, MACD -18.074

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $55.67 (3.37%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,724.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,744.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,737Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.2 · MACD -18.074

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $55.67 · BB 14.25%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV -8.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,575.8 - $1,873.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.92% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$1,929.2
Nearest resistance

+13.55% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,873.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,650
Nearest support

-4.5% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,575.8
Deeper support zone

-7.87% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$1,520.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,594.3 - $1,705.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,873.5, invalidation $1,791.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 21.1 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,504.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,738.6 / $1,729.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$55.67 (3.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.25%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,869 / $1,619.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,594.3 / $1,705.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,873.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,575.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-18.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,873.5, invalidation $1,791.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 21.1 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,504.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,738.6 / $1,729.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-18.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 10.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$55.67 (3.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.25%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,869 / $1,619.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,594.3 / $1,705.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,873.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,575.8Range

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