US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ASML 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,560.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,873.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,873.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD -0.222

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $64.77 (4.33%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,507.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,560.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,630.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD -0.222

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $64.77 · BB 21.26%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV -8.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,355.1 - $1,873.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.47% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$1,938.3
Nearest resistance

+25.14% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,873.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,497.1
Nearest support

-9.49% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,355.1
Deeper support zone

-13.82% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$1,290.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,432.4 - $1,561.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,355.1, invalidation $1,563.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 24.0 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,318Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,527.8 / $1,614.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$64.77 (4.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.26%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,684.1 / $1,429Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,432.4 / $1,561.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,873.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,355.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.4 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,355.1, invalidation $1,563.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 24.0 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,318Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,527.8 / $1,614.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.4 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$64.77 (4.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.26%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,684.1 / $1,429Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,432.4 / $1,561.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,873.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,355.1Range

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