US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish91%
Daily Downside probability 91%Bearish

ASML 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,707.6 and stabilize above resistance $2,000.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2,000 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -20.042

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $75.1 (4.73%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,647.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,707.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,703.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -20.042

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $75.1 · BB 19.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.3 · OBV 0.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,530.6 - $2,000

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.58% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$2,075.1
Nearest resistance

+25.85% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2,000
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,589.1
Nearest support

-3.68% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,530.6
Deeper support zone

-8.41% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$1,455.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,514 - $1,664.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,530.6, invalidation $1,692.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 12.7 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,358.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,721.2 / $1,746.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$75.1 (4.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.44%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,863.7 / $1,546.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,514 / $1,664.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,530.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,530.6, invalidation $1,692.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 12.7 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,358.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,721.2 / $1,746.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$75.1 (4.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.44%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,863.7 / $1,546.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,514 / $1,664.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2,000Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,530.6Range

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