US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish85%
1h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ASML 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,514.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,572.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,572 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -2.281

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $16.95 (1.13%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,507.2Bearish
EMA 21$1,514.9Bearish
EMA 50$1,513Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -2.281

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.95 · BB 4.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.8 · OBV -9.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,480 - $1,572

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.65% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$1,589
Nearest resistance

+4.52% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,572
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,504
Nearest support

-1.6% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,480
Deeper support zone

-2.72% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$1,463
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,487.1 - $1,521

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,487.9, invalidation $1,531

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.6 / 14.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,456.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,516.8 / $1,526Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.95 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.29%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,545.7 / $1,483.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,487.1 / $1,521Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,572Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,480Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.281Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.7 / 38.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,487.9, invalidation $1,531

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.6 / 14.3 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,456.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,516.8 / $1,526Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.281Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.7 / 38.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.95 (1.13%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.29%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,545.7 / $1,483.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,487.1 / $1,521Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,572Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,480Range

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