US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish84%
1h Downside probability 84%Bearish

ASML 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,708.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,742.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,742 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -0.348

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $12.39 (0.73%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,706.6Bearish
EMA 21$1,708.9Bearish
EMA 50$1,712.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -0.348

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.39 · BB 3.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 33.9 · OBV -35.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,679.6 - $1,742

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.26% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$1,754.4
Nearest resistance

+2.53% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,742
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,699
Nearest support

-1.14% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,679.6
Deeper support zone

-1.87% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$1,667.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,686.6 - $1,711.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,738, invalidation $1,703.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 32.9 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,666.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,713.5 / $1,726.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.39 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,733.7 / $1,683.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,686.6 / $1,711.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,742Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,679.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.348Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.4 / 31.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.98xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,738, invalidation $1,703.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 32.9 / 13.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,666.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,713.5 / $1,726.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.348Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.4 / 31.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.39 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,733.7 / $1,683.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,686.6 / $1,711.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.98xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,742Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,679.6Range

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