US stock / ETF

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

ASML · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish69%
1h Downside probability 69%Bearish

ASML 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,582.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,685.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,685.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 43.5, MACD 3.404

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $13.86 (0.88%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,570.2Bullish
EMA 21$1,582.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,609.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD 3.404

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.86 · BB 4.64%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.1 · OBV -56.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,550 - $1,685.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.81% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$1,699.3
Nearest resistance

+6.93% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,685.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,576.3
Nearest support

-1.67% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,550
Deeper support zone

-2.55% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$1,536.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,562.4 - $1,590.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,550, invalidation $1,598.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 29.7 / 26.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,535.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,589.5 / $1,617.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$13.86 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.64%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,610.2 / $1,552.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,562.4 / $1,590.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,685.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.404Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.2 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,550, invalidation $1,598.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 29.7 / 26.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,535.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,589.5 / $1,617.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.404Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.2 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$13.86 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.64%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,610.2 / $1,552.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,562.4 / $1,590.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,685.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,550Range

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