US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish55%
4h Downside probability 55%Bearish

ARM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $244.27 and stabilize above resistance $296.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $296.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.4, MACD 1.118

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.85 (6.65%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$238.79Bearish
EMA 21$244.27Bearish
EMA 50$259.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD 1.118

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $15.85 · BB 17.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV 6.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$201.3 - $296.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.03% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$312.35
Nearest resistance

+24.38% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$296.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$238.38
Nearest support

-15.55% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.3
Deeper support zone

-22.21% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$185.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$222.53 - $254.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $261.91, invalidation $219.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 26.0 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.36 / $248.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.85 (6.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.14%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.02 / $222.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$222.53 / $254.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$296.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.2 / 53.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $261.91, invalidation $219.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 26.0 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.36 / $248.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.2 / 53.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.85 (6.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.14%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.02 / $222.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$222.53 / $254.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$296.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.3Range

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