US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

ARM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $254.69 and stabilize above resistance $289.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $289.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -0.543

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.01 (2.88%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$247.73Bearish
EMA 21$254.69Bearish
EMA 50$262.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -0.543

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.01 · BB 18.73%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -1.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$241.5 - $289.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.12% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$296.81
Nearest resistance

+19.23% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$289.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.05
Nearest support

-0.64% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$241.5
Deeper support zone

-3.52% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$234.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$236.04 - $250.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.44, invalidation $242.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 22.7 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$227.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$256.59 / $270.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.01 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.73%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.62 / $243.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.04 / $250.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$241.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.543Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.44, invalidation $242.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 22.7 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$227.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$256.59 / $270.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.543Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.8 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.01 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.73%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.62 / $243.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.04 / $250.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$241.5Range

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