US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

ARM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $222.22 and stabilize above resistance $259.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD 0.233

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.77 (2.73%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$213.73Bearish
EMA 21$222.22Bearish
EMA 50$240.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD 0.233

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.77 · BB 14.00%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.4 · OBV -10.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$207.46 - $259.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.8% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$265.5
Nearest resistance

+23.07% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.05
Nearest support

-1.7% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.46
Deeper support zone

-4.43% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$201.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$205.28 - $216.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.46, invalidation $216.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 12.4 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.7 / $255.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.77 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.00%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$233.07 / $210.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$205.28 / $216.82Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.233Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 18.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.46, invalidation $216.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.5 / 12.4 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.7 / $255.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.233Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 18.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.77 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.00%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$233.07 / $210.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$205.28 / $216.82Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

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