US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

ARM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $384.75 and stabilize above resistance $452.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -9.465

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.03 (5.42%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$378.74Bearish
EMA 21$384.75Bearish
EMA 50$359.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -9.465

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.03 · BB 28.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.8 · OBV -9.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$299 - $452.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.23% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$471.18
Nearest resistance

+28.81% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$351.03
Nearest support

-14.82% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$299
Deeper support zone

-20.24% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$279.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$332 - $370.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $452.15, invalidation $394.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.3 / 27.7 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.93 / $375.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.03 (5.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.77%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.61 / $347.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332 / $370.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$299Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $452.15, invalidation $394.93

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.3 / 27.7 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$294.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.93 / $375.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.03 (5.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.77%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.61 / $347.68Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332 / $370.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$299Range

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