US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish90%
4h Downside probability 90%Bearish

ARM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $306.68 and stabilize above resistance $358.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $358.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.8, MACD -2.954

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.48 (4.1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$294.77Bearish
EMA 21$306.68Bearish
EMA 50$322.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.8 · MACD -2.954

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.48 · BB 22.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV -3.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$276.26 - $358.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.04% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$369.97
Nearest resistance

+27.94% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$358.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$280.2
Nearest support

-1.41% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$276.26
Deeper support zone

-5.5% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$264.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$268.72 - $291.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.29, invalidation $312.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.3 / 6.9 / 38.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$244.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$304.31 / $331.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.48 (4.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.10%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$330.35 / $281.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.72 / $291.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$358.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 9.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $294.29, invalidation $312.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.3 / 6.9 / 38.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$244.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$304.31 / $331.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 9.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.48 (4.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.10%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$330.35 / $281.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$268.72 / $291.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$358.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

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