US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

ARM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $243.46 and stabilize above resistance $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -14.461

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.38 (18.71%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$222.33Bearish
EMA 21$243.46Bearish
EMA 50$224.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -14.461

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $37.38 · BB 61.70%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.2 · OBV -9.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$133.01 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+145.31% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$490.08
Nearest resistance

+126.6% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$199.78
Nearest support

-33.42% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$133.01
Deeper support zone

-52.13% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$95.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$162.4 - $237.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $336.98, invalidation $225.46

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 15.3 / 34.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.99 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.38 (18.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.70%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$320.93 / $165.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.4 / $237.16Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.461Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 11.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $336.98, invalidation $225.46

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 15.3 / 34.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.99 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.461Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 11.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-146.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.38 (18.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.70%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$320.93 / $165.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.4 / $237.16Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.01Range

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