US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish57%
Weekly Upside probability 57%Bullish

ARM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $100.02 and reclaim $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $100.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -12.094

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $69.09 (28.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$275.24Bearish
EMA 21$261.27Bearish
EMA 50$214.44Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -12.094

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $69.09 · BB 102.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.3 · OBV 9.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$100.02 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+114.45% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$521.79
Nearest resistance

+86.05% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.32
Nearest support

-58.89% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.02
Deeper support zone

-87.29% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$30.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$174.23 - $312.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $219.39, invalidation $299.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.6 / 30.7 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$307.08 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$69.09 (28.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.59%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$387.55 / $139.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.23 / $312.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 26.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $219.39, invalidation $299.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.6 / 30.7 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$307.08 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 26.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$69.09 (28.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.59%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$387.55 / $139.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.23 / $312.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.02Range

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