US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish80%
Weekly Downside probability 80%Bearish

ARM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $260.14 and stabilize above resistance $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -11.088

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.46 (19.17%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$255.34Bearish
EMA 21$260.14Bearish
EMA 50$228.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -11.088

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.46 · BB 74.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.2 · OBV -6.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.26 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+133.67% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$493.16
Nearest resistance

+114.5% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.05
Nearest support

-47.28% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.26
Deeper support zone

-66.45% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$70.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.59 - $251.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $336.98, invalidation $225.46

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 19.6 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.97 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.46 (19.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 74.36%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$336.9 / $184.81Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.59 / $251.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.1 / 16.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $336.98, invalidation $225.46

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 19.6 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.97 / $276.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.1 / 16.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.46 (19.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 74.36%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$336.9 / $184.81Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.59 / $251.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.26Range

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