US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $320.04 and stabilize above resistance $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -1.258

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.56 (6.27%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$304.68Bearish
EMA 21$320.04Bearish
EMA 50$330.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -1.258

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.56 · BB 24.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.1 · OBV -5.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$276.26 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.83% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

$470.26
Nearest resistance

+61.56% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$280.2
Nearest support

-1.41% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$276.26
Deeper support zone

-7.67% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$258.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$262.64 - $297.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $288, invalidation $340.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 19.4 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$238Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$319.8 / $364.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.56 (6.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.98%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$356.67 / $281.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$262.64 / $297.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $288, invalidation $340.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 19.4 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$238Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$319.8 / $364.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.258Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.56 (6.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.98%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$356.67 / $281.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$262.64 / $297.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

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