US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish90%
12h Downside probability 90%Bearish

ARM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $256.04 and stabilize above resistance $340.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $340.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -0.067

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.91 (8.77%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$241.47Bearish
EMA 21$256.04Bearish
EMA 50$281.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -0.067

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.91 · BB 35.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.5 · OBV 0.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$201.3 - $340.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.42% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$360.95
Nearest resistance

+42.65% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$340.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$238.38
Nearest support

-15.55% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.3
Deeper support zone

-24.33% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$180.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.47 - $259.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $201.3, invalidation $268.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 13.5 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$241.9 / $281.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.91 (8.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.61%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$300.43 / $209.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.47 / $259.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$340.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.067Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 36.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.04xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $201.3, invalidation $268.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 13.5 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$241.9 / $281.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.067Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 36.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.91 (8.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.61%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$300.43 / $209.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.47 / $259.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.04xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$340.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.3Range

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