US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $234.75 and stabilize above resistance $316.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $316.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.9, MACD -0.821

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.45 (4.48%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$217.91Bearish
EMA 21$234.75Bearish
EMA 50$254.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.9 · MACD -0.821

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.45 · BB 26.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -37.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$207.46 - $316.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.62% · 12.2 ATR above latest close

$326.33
Nearest resistance

+50.14% · 11.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$316.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.05
Nearest support

-1.7% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.46
Deeper support zone

-6.18% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$198.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$201.6 - $220.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.46, invalidation $248.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 12.1 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$238.76 / $272.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.45 (4.48%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.70%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.7 / $217.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.6 / $220.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$316.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.821Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $207.46, invalidation $248.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.4 / 12.1 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$238.76 / $272.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.821Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.45 (4.48%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.70%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.7 / $217.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.6 / $220.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$316.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

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