US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish73%
Daily Downside probability 73%Bearish

ARM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $264.58 and stabilize above resistance $339.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $339.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.1, MACD -0.873

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.97 (6.97%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$254.41Bearish
EMA 21$264.58Bearish
EMA 50$275.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.1 · MACD -0.873

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.97 · BB 30.23%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.8 · OBV 2.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$219.39 - $339.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.48% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$356.41
Nearest resistance

+39.5% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$339.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.32
Nearest support

-9.83% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.39
Deeper support zone

-16.81% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$202.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$226.35 - $260.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $241.5, invalidation $290.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 22.8 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.6 / $336.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.97 (6.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.23%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$295.06 / $232.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.35 / $260.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$339.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.873Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 15.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $241.5, invalidation $290.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 22.8 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.6 / $336.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.873Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 15.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.97 (6.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.23%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$295.06 / $232.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.35 / $260.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$339.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.39Range

Related Forecasts