US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $209.68 and stabilize above resistance $318.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $318.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD 1.828

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.95 (7.49%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$195.18Bullish
EMA 21$209.68Bearish
EMA 50$234.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD 1.828

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.95 · BB 37.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.5 · OBV -5.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$163.13 - $318.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+66.84% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$333.32
Nearest resistance

+59.36% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$318.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$199.78
Nearest support

-18.35% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$163.13
Deeper support zone

-25.83% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$148.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.83 - $214.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.13, invalidation $207.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 26.6 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$155.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.31 / $250.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.95 (7.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.49%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.62 / $180.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.83 / $214.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$318.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$163.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.828Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.0 / 50.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.13, invalidation $207.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 26.6 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$155.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.31 / $250.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.828Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.0 / 50.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.95 (7.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.49%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.62 / $180.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.83 / $214.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$318.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$163.13Range

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