US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

ARM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $328.65 and stabilize above resistance $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -10.117

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.57 (10.2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$311.3Bearish
EMA 21$328.65Bearish
EMA 50$305.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -10.117

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $28.57 · BB 49.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.9 · OBV -5.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$276.26 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.76% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$481.27
Nearest resistance

+61.56% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$280.2
Nearest support

-1.41% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$276.26
Deeper support zone

-11.6% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$247.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$251.63 - $308.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $290.45, invalidation $339.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 12.3 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.93 / $323.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.57 (10.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.86%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$381.53 / $275.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$251.63 / $308.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $290.45, invalidation $339.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 12.3 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$340.93 / $323.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.57 (10.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.86%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$381.53 / $275.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$251.63 / $308.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

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