US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $250.61 and stabilize above resistance $336.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $336.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -7.229

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.17 (6.71%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.16Bearish
EMA 21$250.61Bearish
EMA 50$263.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -7.229

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.17 · BB 50.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 5.9 · OBV -9.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$208.3 - $336.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+66.26% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$351.15
Nearest resistance

+59.55% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$336.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.21
Nearest support

-1.38% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$208.3
Deeper support zone

-8.09% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$194.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$197.04 - $225.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.54, invalidation $318.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.0 / 0.9 / 52.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$253.43 / $272.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.17 (6.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.32%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.41 / $221.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$197.04 / $225.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$336.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.229Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 4.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

5.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.54, invalidation $318.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.0 / 0.9 / 52.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$253.43 / $272.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.229Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 4.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.17 (6.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.32%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.41 / $221.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$197.04 / $225.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

5.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$336.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$208.3Range

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