US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $269.39 and stabilize above resistance $452.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $452.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.4, MACD -3.735

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.84 (9.42%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$242.56Bearish
EMA 21$269.39Bearish
EMA 50$282.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.4 · MACD -3.735

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.84 · BB 43.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.2 · OBV -7.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$219.39 - $452.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+114.1% · 12.1 ATR above latest close

$473.54
Nearest resistance

+104.68% · 11.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$452.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.17
Nearest support

-0.8% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.39
Deeper support zone

-10.23% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$198.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$200.33 - $242.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.56, invalidation $268.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 15.9 / 34.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.43 / $336.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.84 (9.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.29%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.37 / $226.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.33 / $242.01Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.735Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.4 / 15.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.56, invalidation $268.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 15.9 / 34.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.43 / $336.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.735Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.4 / 15.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.84 (9.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.29%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.37 / $226.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.33 / $242.01Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$452.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.39Range

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