US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish68%
1h Downside probability 68%Bearish

ARM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $212.68 and stabilize above resistance $227.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $227.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.506

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.29 (1.08%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$211.34Bearish
EMA 21$212.68Bearish
EMA 50$217.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.506

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.29 · BB 3.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 76.2 · OBV -3.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$207.46 - $227.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.93% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$229.89
Nearest resistance

+7.84% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$227.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.05
Nearest support

-1.7% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.46
Deeper support zone

-2.78% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$205.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.76 - $213.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.33, invalidation $208.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 30.7 / 22.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.55 / $218.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.29 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.03%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.63 / $207.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.76 / $213.34Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.506Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.6 / 44.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.33, invalidation $208.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 30.7 / 22.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.55 / $218.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.506Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.6 / 44.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.29 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.03%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.63 / $207.43Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.76 / $213.34Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.46Range

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