US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish89%
1h Downside probability 89%Bearish

ARM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $247.96 and stabilize above resistance $255.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.2, MACD -0.762

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.44 (1.01%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$245.58Bearish
EMA 21$247.96Bearish
EMA 50$251.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.2 · MACD -0.762

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.44 · BB 6.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -0.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$242.28 - $255.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.1% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$257.88
Nearest resistance

+5.1% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.05
Nearest support

-0.32% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$242.28
Deeper support zone

-1.32% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$239.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$240.61 - $245.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.44, invalidation $242.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 15.2 / 39.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$234.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.92 / $254.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.44 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.24%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.42 / $242.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.61 / $245.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.762Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.44, invalidation $242.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 15.2 / 39.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$234.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.92 / $254.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.762Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.44 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.24%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.42 / $242.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.61 / $245.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242.28Range

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