US stock / ETF

Arm Holdings plc

ARM · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ARM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $293.8 and stabilize above resistance $326.31.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $326.31 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -1.083

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.92 (2.83%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$285.42Bearish
EMA 21$293.8Bearish
EMA 50$303.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -1.083

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.92 · BB 13.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.7 · OBV -2.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$276.26 - $326.31

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.28% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$334.23
Nearest resistance

+16.46% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$326.31
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$280.2
Nearest support

-1.41% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$276.26
Deeper support zone

-4.23% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$268.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$272.28 - $288.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $276.26, invalidation $286.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 21.7 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$253.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.43 / $308.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.92 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.53%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$311.46 / $275.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$272.28 / $288.12Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$326.31Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.80xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $276.26, invalidation $286.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 21.7 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$253.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.43 / $308.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.92 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.53%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$311.46 / $275.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$272.28 / $288.12Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.80xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$326.31Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$276.26Range

Related Forecasts