US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish54%
4h Upside probability 54%Bullish

ALL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $252.83 and reclaim $266.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $252.83 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.5, MACD 0.102

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.2 (0.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$258.71Bearish
EMA 21$258.88Bearish
EMA 50$259.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.5 · MACD 0.102

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.2 · BB 3.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.7 · OBV -17.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$252.83 - $266.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.3% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$268.77
Nearest resistance

+3.44% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$266.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$257.7
Nearest support

-1.89% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$252.83
Deeper support zone

-2.74% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$250.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$255.5 - $259.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $261.81, invalidation $257

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 36.8 / 26.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.49 / $264.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (0.86%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$262.77 / $254.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.5 / $259.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.102Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 46.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $261.81, invalidation $257

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 36.8 / 26.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.49 / $264.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.102Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 46.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (0.86%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$262.77 / $254.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.5 / $259.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.83Range

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