US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish62%
4h Downside probability 62%Bearish

ALL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $225.31 and stabilize above resistance $230.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $230.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.3, MACD 0.704

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.68 (0.75%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$224.61Bullish
EMA 21$225.31Bearish
EMA 50$231.11Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD 0.704

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.68 · BB 1.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.1 · OBV -32.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$219.91 - $230.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.36% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$232.47
Nearest resistance

+2.61% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$230.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.92
Nearest support

-2.23% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.91
Deeper support zone

-2.97% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$218.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$223.24 - $226.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.29, invalidation $222.22

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 19.7 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$219.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$224.3 / $238Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.68%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$228.86 / $221.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.24 / $226.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.704Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.9 / 76.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

61.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.29, invalidation $222.22

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 19.7 / 34.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$219.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$224.3 / $238Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.704Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.9 / 76.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

61.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.68 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.68%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$228.86 / $221.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.24 / $226.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.91Range

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