US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

ALL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $255.92 and stabilize above resistance $258.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $258.58 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.5, MACD -0.252

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.23 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$255.76Bearish
EMA 21$255.92Bearish
EMA 50$255.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.5 · MACD -0.252

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.23 · BB 1.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.2 · OBV 23.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$251.4 - $258.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.94% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$259.81
Nearest resistance

+1.46% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$258.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$254.85
Nearest support

-1.35% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$251.4
Deeper support zone

-1.83% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$250.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$253.62 - $256.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255, invalidation $257.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 13.9 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$250.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.32 / $254.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.23 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.62%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.67 / $253.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.62 / $256.08Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$258.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$251.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.252Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.5 / 37.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-148.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255, invalidation $257.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 13.9 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$250.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.32 / $254.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.252Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.5 / 37.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-148.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.23 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.62%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.67 / $253.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.62 / $256.08Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$258.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$251.4Range

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