US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish86%
12h Downside probability 86%Bearish

ALL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $259.56 and stabilize above resistance $277.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $277.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -0.278

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4 (1.55%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$258.84Bearish
EMA 21$259.56Bearish
EMA 50$255.67Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -0.278

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4 · BB 7.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -30.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$252.83 - $277.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.35% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$281.8
Nearest resistance

+7.8% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$277.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$257.7
Nearest support

-1.89% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$252.83
Deeper support zone

-3.44% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$248.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$253.7 - $261.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $252.83, invalidation $261.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 30.8 / 23.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$245.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.02 / $257.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.48 / $250.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.7 / $261.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$277.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.278Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 54.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $252.83, invalidation $261.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 30.8 / 23.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$245.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.02 / $257.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.278Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 54.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.48 / $250.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.7 / $261.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$277.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.83Range

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