US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish83%
12h Downside probability 83%Bearish

ALL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $231.02 and stabilize above resistance $266.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $266.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 32.4, MACD 0.671

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.03 (1.35%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$225.22Bearish
EMA 21$231.02Bearish
EMA 50$240.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.4 · MACD 0.671

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.03 · BB 12.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -48.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$219.91 - $266.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.97% · 14.8 ATR above latest close

$269.48
Nearest resistance

+18.62% · 13.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$266.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.63
Nearest support

-2.1% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.91
Deeper support zone

-3.45% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$216.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.6 - $227.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $258.58, invalidation $219.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.5 / 16.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.54 / $243.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.03 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.55%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.04 / $224.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.6 / $227.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.671Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 40.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $258.58, invalidation $219.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.5 / 16.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.54 / $243.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.671Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 40.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.03 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.55%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.04 / $224.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.6 / $227.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.91Range

Related Forecasts