US stock / ETF

The Allstate Corporation

ALL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

ALL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $238.97 and stabilize above resistance $277.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $277.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -4.939

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.23 (5.89%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$238.88Bearish
EMA 21$238.97Bearish
EMA 50$226.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -4.939

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.23 · BB 29.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.9 · OBV -29.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$201.22 - $277.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.26% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$290.45
Nearest resistance

+23.37% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$277.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.71
Nearest support

-10.45% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.22
Deeper support zone

-16.34% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$187.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$211.47 - $237.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $277.22, invalidation $252.83

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.4 / 17.6 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$187.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$242.03 / $232.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.23 (5.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.44%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.17 / $214.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$211.47 / $237.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$277.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.939Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $277.22, invalidation $252.83

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.4 / 17.6 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$187.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$242.03 / $232.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.939Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.23 (5.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.44%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.17 / $214.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$211.47 / $237.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$277.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.22Range

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