US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish67%
4h Upside probability 67%Bullish

AJG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $231.86 and reclaim $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $231.86 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.9, MACD -1.878

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.4 (1.31%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$262.07Bearish
EMA 21$260.43Bearish
EMA 50$252.38Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD -1.878

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.4 · BB 7.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.0 · OBV 1.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$231.86 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.63% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$276.19
Nearest resistance

+5.32% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.01
Nearest support

-10.48% · 8.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$231.86
Deeper support zone

-11.79% · 9.0 ATR below latest close

$228.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$255.61 - $262.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269, invalidation $263.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 35.1 / 34.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$249.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.91 / $248.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.4 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.25%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.07 / $254.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.61 / $262.41Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$231.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.878Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 13.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269, invalidation $263.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.6 / 35.1 / 34.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$249.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.91 / $248.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.878Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 13.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.4 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.25%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.07 / $254.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.61 / $262.41Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$231.86Range

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