US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish82%
4h Upside probability 82%Bullish

AJG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.87 and reclaim $226.06.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.8, MACD 0.646

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.33 (1.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$220.9Bullish
EMA 21$217.96Bullish
EMA 50$214.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.8 · MACD 0.646

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.33 · BB 7.01%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 68.6 · OBV -24.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$199.87 - $226.06

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.42% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$230.39
Nearest resistance

+0.5% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.06
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$224.94
Nearest support

-11.15% · 5.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.87
Deeper support zone

-13.07% · 6.8 ATR below latest close

$195.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.61 - $229.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.53, invalidation $218.35

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 40.9 / 17.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$213.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.08 / $212.9Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.33 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.01%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.12 / $210.15Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.61 / $229.27Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.646Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.8 / 87.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

177.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $224.53, invalidation $218.35

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 40.9 / 17.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$213.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.08 / $212.9Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.646Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.8 / 87.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

177.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.33 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.01%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.12 / $210.15Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.61 / $229.27Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.06Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.87Range

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