US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish79%
12h Downside probability 79%Bearish

AJG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $251.2 and stabilize above resistance $271.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $271.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -1.645

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.52 (2.28%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$246.31Bearish
EMA 21$251.2Bearish
EMA 50$250.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -1.645

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.52 · BB 15.05%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV -8.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$240.3 - $271.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.78% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$277.51
Nearest resistance

+12.49% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$271.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$241.79
Nearest support

-0.61% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$240.3
Deeper support zone

-2.9% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$234.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$236.26 - $247.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.32, invalidation $254.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 26.2 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$223.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.8 / $255.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.52 (2.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.05%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.39 / $238.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.26 / $247.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.645Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.32, invalidation $254.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 26.2 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$223.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.8 / $255.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.645Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.52 (2.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.05%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.39 / $238.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.26 / $247.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.3Range

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