US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish56%
12h Downside probability 56%Bearish

AJG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.52 and stabilize above resistance $269.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $269.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.1, MACD -1.307

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.68 (3.1%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$250.25Bearish
EMA 21$249.52Bearish
EMA 50$241.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -1.307

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.68 · BB 10.01%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.2 · OBV 4.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$224.49 - $269.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.91% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$277.67
Nearest resistance

+8.81% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$269.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$248.12
Nearest support

-9.52% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$224.49
Deeper support zone

-12.62% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$216.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$240.44 - $255.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.53, invalidation $253.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 29.8 / 26.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.26 / $238.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.68 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.01%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.73 / $235.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.44 / $255.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$269.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$224.49Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.307Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 36.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.53, invalidation $253.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.2 / 29.8 / 26.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.26 / $238.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.307Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 36.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.68 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.01%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.73 / $235.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.44 / $255.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$269.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$224.49Range

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