US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish67%
12h Downside probability 67%Bearish

AJG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $233.11 and stabilize above resistance $284.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $284.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD 0.636

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.43 (3.7%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.9Bearish
EMA 21$233.11Bearish
EMA 50$239.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD 0.636

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.43 · BB 7.93%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV -15.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$219.65 - $284.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.5% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$292.92
Nearest resistance

+24.8% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$284.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$227.95
Nearest support

-3.64% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.65
Deeper support zone

-7.34% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$211.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$219.53 - $236.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.49, invalidation $219.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 51.7 / 18.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$252.07 / $252.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.43 (3.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.93%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.14 / $212.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219.53 / $236.38Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$284.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.636Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.49, invalidation $219.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 51.7 / 18.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$252.07 / $252.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.636Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.8 / 13.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.43 (3.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.93%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.14 / $212.33Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219.53 / $236.38Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$284.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.65Range

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