US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

AJG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $254.05 and stabilize above resistance $351.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $351.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.0, MACD -8.583

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $35.22 (13.87%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$237.18Bullish
EMA 21$254.05Bearish
EMA 50$235.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -8.583

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $35.22 · BB 66.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV -37.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $351.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.21% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$386.45
Nearest resistance

+38.33% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$351.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$253.9
Nearest support

-24.87% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-38.75% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$155.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$218.68 - $289.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.1 / 10.0 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.9 / $249.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.22 (13.87%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.50%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.66 / $182.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.68 / $289.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.583Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 23.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.1 / 10.0 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$139.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.9 / $249.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.583Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 23.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.22 (13.87%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.50%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.66 / $182.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.68 / $289.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

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