US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

AJG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $254.23 and stabilize above resistance $351.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $351.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.4, MACD -5.526

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $35.07 (13.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$241.51Bullish
EMA 21$254.23Bullish
EMA 50$236.03Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD -5.526

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $35.07 · BB 67.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.2 · OBV -35.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $351.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.49% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$386.29
Nearest resistance

+35.01% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$351.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.15
Nearest support

-26.68% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-40.16% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$155.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$225.08 - $295.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 12.2 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $249.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.07 (13.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.08%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$318.74 / $189.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$225.08 / $295.22Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.526Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.4 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 12.2 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $249.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.526Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.4 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.07 (13.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.08%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$318.74 / $189.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$225.08 / $295.22Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

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