US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

AJG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $253.72 and stabilize above resistance $350.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $350.71 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -12.623

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.4 (15.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$231.55Bearish
EMA 21$253.72Bearish
EMA 50$233.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -12.623

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.4 · BB 66.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -109.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.81 - $350.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+70.58% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$385.11
Nearest resistance

+55.34% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$350.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.77
Nearest support

-15.48% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.81
Deeper support zone

-30.72% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$156.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$191.37 - $260.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $195.08, invalidation $266.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 3.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$111.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.43 / $249.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.4 (15.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.82%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.03 / $185.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$191.37 / $260.17Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$350.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.623Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.9 / 11.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $195.08, invalidation $266.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 3.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$111.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.43 / $249.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.623Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.9 / 11.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.4 (15.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.82%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.03 / $185.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$191.37 / $260.17Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$350.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.81Range

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