US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AJG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $253.54 and stabilize above resistance $351.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $351.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -4.071

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.32 (14.12%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$242.53Bullish
EMA 21$253.54Bearish
EMA 50$236.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -4.071

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.32 · BB 67.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -43.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $351.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.64% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$385.55
Nearest resistance

+44.52% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$351.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.03
Nearest support

-21.51% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-35.63% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$156.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.7 - $277.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 12.5 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $249.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.32 (14.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.67%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$319.62 / $186.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.7 / $277.35Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.6 / 44.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 12.5 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $249.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.6 / 44.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.32 (14.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.67%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$319.62 / $186.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.7 / $277.35Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

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