US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

AJG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $252.81 and stabilize above resistance $351.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $351.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.2, MACD -2.601

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.07 (14.31%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$243.61Bullish
EMA 21$252.81Bullish
EMA 50$236.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.2 · MACD -2.601

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $37.07 · BB 65.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV -45.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $351.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.92% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$388.3
Nearest resistance

+35.6% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$351.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.01
Nearest support

-26.35% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-40.67% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$153.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.94 - $296.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 11.6 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$134.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $255.91Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.07 (14.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.72%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.06 / $177.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.94 / $296.08Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.6 / 47.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.75, invalidation $266.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 11.6 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$134.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.38 / $255.91Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.6 / 47.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.07 (14.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.72%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.06 / $177.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.94 / $296.08Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Related Forecasts