US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

AJG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $190.75 and reclaim $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $190.75 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.6, MACD 5.483

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.96 (6.13%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$251.15Bullish
EMA 21$239.9Bullish
EMA 50$246.29Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.6 · MACD 5.483

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $15.96 · BB 38.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.5 · OBV 38.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.99% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$288.75
Nearest resistance

+4.86% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.15
Nearest support

-26.68% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-32.81% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$174.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$244.19 - $276.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.99, invalidation $240.82

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.9 / 37.2 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.9 / $252.15Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.96 (6.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.51%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$274.16 / $206.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$244.19 / $276.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.483Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.7 / 83.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

110.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.99, invalidation $240.82

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.9 / 37.2 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239.9 / $252.15Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.483Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.7 / 83.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

110.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.96 (6.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.51%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$274.16 / $206.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$244.19 / $276.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

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