US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange50%
Weekly Range probability 100%Range

AJG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $190.81 - $266.64 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.0, MACD 3.895

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.2 (5.85%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$214.88Bullish
EMA 21$220.7Bullish
EMA 50$243.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD 3.895

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.2 · BB 16.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.1 · OBV 346.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$190.81 - $266.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.95% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$279.84
Nearest resistance

+18.1% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$266.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.77
Nearest support

-15.48% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.81
Deeper support zone

-21.33% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$177.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$212.57 - $238.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.81, invalidation $225.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.9 / 19.2 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$180.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.7 / $256.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.2 (5.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.08%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.81 / $193.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.57 / $238.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.895Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.8 / 80.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

346.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.81, invalidation $225.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.9 / 19.2 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$180.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.7 / $256.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.895Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.8 / 80.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.2 (5.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.08%

86%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.81 / $193.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.57 / $238.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

346.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.81Range

Related Forecasts