US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish73%
Weekly Upside probability 73%Bullish

AJG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $190.75 and reclaim $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $190.75 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.3, MACD 1.843

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.53 (6.83%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$249.59Bearish
EMA 21$242.35Bearish
EMA 50$246.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD 1.843

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $16.53 · BB 38.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.4 · OBV 97.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$190.75 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.5% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$289.32
Nearest resistance

+12.67% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$242.11
Nearest support

-21.21% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-28.04% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$174.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$225.57 - $258.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $272.79, invalidation $240.82

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.5 / 28.8 / 13.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.16 / $252.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.53 (6.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.46%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.13 / $210.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$225.57 / $258.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.843Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.6 / 62.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

32.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

97.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $272.79, invalidation $240.82

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.5 / 28.8 / 13.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$198.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.16 / $252.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.843Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.6 / 62.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

32.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.53 (6.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.46%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.13 / $210.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$225.57 / $258.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

97.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Related Forecasts