US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish87%
Weekly Upside probability 87%Bullish

AJG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $190.75 and reclaim $272.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $190.75 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.9, MACD 1.438

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.59 (6.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$250.61Bullish
EMA 21$244.49Bullish
EMA 50$246.56Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.9 · MACD 1.438

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $16.59 · BB 23.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV 35.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$190.75 - $272.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.73% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$289.39
Nearest resistance

+5.32% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.01
Nearest support

-26.35% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.75
Deeper support zone

-32.76% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$174.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$242.42 - $275.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $272.79, invalidation $219.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 29.3 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$213.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239 / $231.78Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.59 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.63%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.08 / $212.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$242.42 / $275.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.438Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 77.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

87.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

35.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $272.79, invalidation $219.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 29.3 / 18.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$213.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$239 / $231.78Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.438Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 77.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

87.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.59 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.63%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$277.08 / $212.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$242.42 / $275.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

35.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.75Range

Related Forecasts