US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish66%
1h Downside probability 66%Bearish

AJG 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $263.62 and stabilize above resistance $271.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $271.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.8, MACD -0.695

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.59 (0.61%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$261.39Bearish
EMA 21$263.62Bearish
EMA 50$263.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.8 · MACD -0.695

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.59 · BB 5.21%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 15.9 · OBV -1.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$259.26 - $271.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.16% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$273.58
Nearest resistance

+4.55% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$271.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.15
Nearest support

-0.34% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$259.26
Deeper support zone

-0.95% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$257.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$258.56 - $261.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $263.79, invalidation $259.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.6 / 12.9 / 53.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$255.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$263.44 / $263.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.59 (0.61%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.21%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.84 / $260.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$258.56 / $261.74Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$259.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.695Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $263.79, invalidation $259.76

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.6 / 12.9 / 53.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$255.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$263.44 / $263.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.695Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.59 (0.61%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.21%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.84 / $260.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$258.56 / $261.74Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$271.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$259.26Range

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