US stock / ETF

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish88%
1h Downside probability 88%Bearish

AJG 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $261.91 and stabilize above resistance $272.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $272.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD -0.844

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.84 (0.71%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$259.5Bearish
EMA 21$261.91Bearish
EMA 50$260.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD -0.844

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.84 · BB 6.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.8 · OBV -10.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$255.75 - $272.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.03% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$274.63
Nearest resistance

+5.32% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$272.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.01
Nearest support

-1.26% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$255.75
Deeper support zone

-1.97% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$253.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$257.17 - $260.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269, invalidation $255.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 22.1 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$252.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.77 / $263.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.84 (0.71%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.08 / $257.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$257.17 / $260.85Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.844Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 26.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269, invalidation $255.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 22.1 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$252.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.77 / $263.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.844Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 26.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.84 (0.71%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.08 / $257.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$257.17 / $260.85Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$272.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.75Range

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