US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.78 and stabilize above resistance $85.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $85.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -0.225

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.33 (1.76%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$76.35Bearish
EMA 21$77.78Bearish
EMA 50$78.44Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -0.225

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.33 · BB 10.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -33.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$74.29 - $85.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.09% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$86.57
Nearest resistance

+12.34% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$85.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$75.88
Nearest support

-2.1% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$74.29
Deeper support zone

-3.85% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$72.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.55 - $77.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $74.29, invalidation $82.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.6 / 10.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.89 / $79.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.33 (1.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.73%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.19 / $75.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.55 / $77.21Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$74.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.1 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $74.29, invalidation $82.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.6 / 10.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$72.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.89 / $79.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.1 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.33 (1.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.73%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.19 / $75.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.55 / $77.21Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$85.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$74.29Range

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