US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.59 and stabilize above resistance $84.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $84.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.081

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8782 (1.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$78.92Bearish
EMA 21$79.59Bearish
EMA 50$80.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.081

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8782 · BB 3.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.3 · OBV -2.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.09 - $84.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.09% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$85.29
Nearest resistance

+7.97% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$84.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$78.18
Nearest support

-0.12% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.09
Deeper support zone

-1.24% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$77.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.3 - $79.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.76, invalidation $78.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 20.1 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.52 / $81.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8782 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.39%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.3 / $77.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.3 / $79.06Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.09Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-181.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.76, invalidation $78.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 20.1 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.52 / $81.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.4 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-181.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8782 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.39%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.3 / $77.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.3 / $79.06Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$84.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.09Range

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