US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish65%
4h Downside probability 65%Bearish

ADM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.75 and stabilize above resistance $83.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD 0.057

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.03 (1.3%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$79.52Bearish
EMA 21$79.75Bearish
EMA 50$80.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD 0.057

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.03 · BB 6.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV -8.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$76.05 - $83.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.18% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$84.78
Nearest resistance

+5.88% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.1
Nearest support

-3.86% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.05
Deeper support zone

-5.16% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$75.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.07 - $80.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.91, invalidation $78.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 26.5 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.78 / $79.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.03 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.17%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.92 / $77.54Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.07 / $80.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.8 / 71.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.91, invalidation $78.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 26.5 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.78 / $79.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.057Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.8 / 71.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.03 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.17%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.92 / $77.54Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.07 / $80.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.05Range

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