US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish58%
Weekly Downside probability 58%Bearish

ADM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $79.88 and stabilize above resistance $88.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $88.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -0.926

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.74 (6.06%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$80.75Bearish
EMA 21$79.88Bearish
EMA 50$74.55Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -0.926

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.74 · BB 16.33%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV -0.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$65.07 - $88.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.55% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$93.49
Nearest resistance

+13.49% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$88.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$78.2
Nearest support

-16.79% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$65.07
Deeper support zone

-22.85% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$60.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.46 - $82.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.28, invalidation $78.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.3 / 18.3 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.8 / $72.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.74 (6.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.33%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$88.56 / $71.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.46 / $82.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.926Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 35.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $84.28, invalidation $78.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.3 / 18.3 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$81.8 / $72.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.926Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 35.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.74 (6.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.33%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$88.56 / $71.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.46 / $82.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.07Range

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