US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish85%
12h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ADM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $80 and stabilize above resistance $83.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -0.132

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.6 (2.03%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$79.59Bearish
EMA 21$80Bearish
EMA 50$80.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -0.132

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.6 · BB 6.33%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV 6.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$75.95 - $83.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.91% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$85.35
Nearest resistance

+5.88% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$79.1
Nearest support

-3.98% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$75.95
Deeper support zone

-6.01% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$74.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.5 - $80.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.75, invalidation $76.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 18.8 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.65 / $82.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.6 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.33%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.22 / $76.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.5 / $80.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.75, invalidation $76.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 18.8 / 37.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$79.65 / $82.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.6 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.6 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.33%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.22 / $76.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.5 / $80.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$75.95Range

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