US stock / ETF

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish90%
1h Downside probability 90%Bearish

ADM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $77.45 and stabilize above resistance $81.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD -0.015

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4103 (0.54%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$76.97Bearish
EMA 21$77.45Bearish
EMA 50$78.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD -0.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4103 · BB 2.67%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 84.2 · OBV 26.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.14 - $81.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.46% · 13.9 ATR above latest close

$82.3
Nearest resistance

+6.92% · 12.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$76.59
Nearest support

-0.59% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$76.14
Deeper support zone

-1.12% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$75.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.18 - $77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.14, invalidation $77.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 21.1 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.42 / $79.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4103 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.67%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.42 / $76.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.18 / $77Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.14Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 30.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.14, invalidation $77.56

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 21.1 / 48.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$77.42 / $79.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 30.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4103 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.67%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$78.42 / $76.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.18 / $77Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.14Range

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