US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

XOM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $140.04 and stabilize above resistance $154.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $154.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD 0.048

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.8 (1.32%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$137.35Bearish
EMA 21$140.04Bearish
EMA 50$144.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD 0.048

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.8 · BB 7.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 62.4 · OBV -4.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$135.71 - $154.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.99% · 11.4 ATR above latest close

$156.7
Nearest resistance

+13.67% · 10.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$154.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.28
Nearest support

-0.41% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$135.71
Deeper support zone

-1.73% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$133.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$134.48 - $138.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.71, invalidation $138

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 16.6 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.06 / $146.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.8 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.71%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.91 / $136.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$134.48 / $138.07Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.048Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.71, invalidation $138

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 16.6 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.06 / $146.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.048Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.8 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.71%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$142.91 / $136.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$134.48 / $138.07Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.71Range

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