US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish58%
4h Upside probability 58%Bullish

XOM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $158.75 and reclaim $169.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $158.75 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.1, MACD -0.497

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.2 (1.35%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$165.4Bearish
EMA 21$165.35Bearish
EMA 50$164Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.1 · MACD -0.497

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.2 · BB 4.57%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 68.7 · OBV 2.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$158.75 - $169.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.99% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$171.84
Nearest resistance

+3.64% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$169.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$163.68
Nearest support

-3.01% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$158.75
Deeper support zone

-4.36% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$156.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$161.48 - $165.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $169.64, invalidation $164.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.0 / 23.3 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$157.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.15 / $162.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.57%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$169.76 / $161.04Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.48 / $165.88Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$169.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$158.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.497Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 11.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $169.64, invalidation $164.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.0 / 23.3 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$157.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.15 / $162.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.497Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 11.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.2 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.57%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$169.76 / $161.04Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.48 / $165.88Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$169.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$158.75Range

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