US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

XOM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $160.3 and stabilize above resistance $168.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.6, MACD -0.698

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.67 (1.07%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$158.03Bearish
EMA 21$160.3Bearish
EMA 50$160.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.6 · MACD -0.698

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.67 · BB 7.86%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 15.5 · OBV -6.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.14 - $168.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.65% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$170.15
Nearest resistance

+7.59% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$156.6
Nearest support

-0.29% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.14
Deeper support zone

-1.36% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$154.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$154.93 - $158.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $156.14, invalidation $161.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 8.0 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.63 / $162.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.67 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.86%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.42 / $156.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.93 / $158.27Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.14Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 6.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.89xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $156.14, invalidation $161.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 8.0 / 35.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.63 / $162.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.5 / 6.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.67 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.86%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.42 / $156.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.93 / $158.27Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.89xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.14Range

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