US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

XOM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $166.09 and stabilize above resistance $169.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $169.64 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.5, MACD -0.565

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9986 (0.61%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$164.71Bearish
EMA 21$166.09Bearish
EMA 50$166.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.5 · MACD -0.565

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9986 · BB 5.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV 5.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$162.56 - $169.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.25% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$170.64
Nearest resistance

+3.64% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$169.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$163.68
Nearest support

-0.68% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$162.56
Deeper support zone

-1.29% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$161.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$162.68 - $164.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.15, invalidation $165.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 5.3 / 66.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.69 / $166.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9986 (0.61%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.29%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.25 / $163.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.68 / $164.68Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$169.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.56Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 14.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.78xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.15, invalidation $165.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 5.3 / 66.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.69 / $166.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 14.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9986 (0.61%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.29%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.25 / $163.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.68 / $164.68Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.78xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$169.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.56Range

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