US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish64%
1h Downside probability 64%Bearish

XOM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $137.03 and stabilize above resistance $140.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 41.3, MACD 0.032

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6536 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$136.57Bearish
EMA 21$137.03Bearish
EMA 50$138.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.3 · MACD 0.032

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.6536 · BB 1.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.5 · OBV -0.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$135.71 - $140.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.46% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$140.99
Nearest resistance

+2.98% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.28
Nearest support

-0.41% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$135.71
Deeper support zone

-0.89% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$135.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$135.62 - $136.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.19, invalidation $137.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 27.9 / 19.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$134.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.41 / $138.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6536 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.52%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.05 / $135.93Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.62 / $136.93Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.032Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $136.19, invalidation $137.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 27.9 / 19.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$134.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.41 / $138.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.032Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 15.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6536 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.52%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.05 / $135.93Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$135.62 / $136.93Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.71Range

Related Forecasts