US stock / ETF

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish69%
Weekly Downside probability 69%Bearish

XOM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.03 and stabilize above resistance $176.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $176.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -3.187

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.96 (8.03%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$144.89Bearish
EMA 21$145.03Bearish
EMA 50$135.51Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -3.187

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.96 · BB 20.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.1 · OBV -8.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$112.58 - $176.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.36% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$187.36
Nearest resistance

+29.33% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$176.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$136.4
Nearest support

-17.46% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.58
Deeper support zone

-25.5% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$101.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.44 - $147.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.67, invalidation $144.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 17.7 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.34 / $140.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.96 (8.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.45%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.86 / $126.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.44 / $147.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.187Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 7.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.67, invalidation $144.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 17.7 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$148.34 / $140.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.187Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 7.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-190.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.96 (8.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.45%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.86 / $126.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.44 / $147.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.58Range

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