US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

VST 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.65 and stabilize above resistance $158.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $158.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.9, MACD 0.715

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.85 (1.99%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$145.06Bearish
EMA 21$145.65Bearish
EMA 50$147.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD 0.715

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.85 · BB 13.50%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.6 · OBV -33.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$136.31 - $158.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.73% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$161.58
Nearest resistance

+10.74% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$158.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$143.34
Nearest support

-4.9% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$136.31
Deeper support zone

-6.89% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$133.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$140.49 - $146.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $143.29, invalidation $139.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 30.3 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.83 / $150.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.85 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.15 / $139.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.49 / $146.19Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$158.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.715Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 80.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $143.29, invalidation $139.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 30.3 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.83 / $150.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.715Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.6 / 80.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.85 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$151.15 / $139.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$140.49 / $146.19Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$158.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$136.31Range

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