US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

VST 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $156.2 and stabilize above resistance $168.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.511

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.77 (2.43%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$154.72Bullish
EMA 21$156.2Bearish
EMA 50$157.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.511

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.77 · BB 9.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV 29.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$148.22 - $168.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.75% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$171.98
Nearest resistance

+8.33% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$155.28
Nearest support

-4.55% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.22
Deeper support zone

-6.97% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$144.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$151.51 - $159.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $148.22, invalidation $166.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 26.7 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$156.3 / $158.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.77 (2.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.53%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.73 / $149.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.51 / $159.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.511Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.7 / 33.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $148.22, invalidation $166.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 26.7 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$156.3 / $158.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.511Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.7 / 33.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.77 (2.43%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.53%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.73 / $149.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.51 / $159.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.22Range

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