US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

VST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.48 and stabilize above resistance $173.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $173 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD 0.498

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.45 (10.08%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$145.74Bearish
EMA 21$148.48Bearish
EMA 50$153.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD 0.498

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.45 · BB 24.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.1 · OBV -6.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$132.66 - $173

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.78% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$187.45
Nearest resistance

+20.69% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$173
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$143.34
Nearest support

-7.45% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$132.66
Deeper support zone

-17.53% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$118.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$128.89 - $157.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $168.75, invalidation $133.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 16.8 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$151.55 / $164.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.45 (10.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.69%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.79 / $121.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$128.89 / $157.79Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$173Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$132.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.498Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $168.75, invalidation $133.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 16.8 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$151.55 / $164.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.498Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.0 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.45 (10.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.69%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.79 / $121.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$128.89 / $157.79Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$173Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$132.66Range

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