US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

VST 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $152.17 and stabilize above resistance $182.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $182.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.9, MACD -1.227

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.07 (10.78%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$146.16Bearish
EMA 21$152.17Bearish
EMA 50$157.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD -1.227

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $15.07 · BB 23.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.1 · OBV -9.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$132.66 - $182.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.36% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$197.63
Nearest resistance

+30.58% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$182.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$139.81
Nearest support

-5.11% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$132.66
Deeper support zone

-15.89% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$117.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.74 - $154.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134.75, invalidation $169.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 18.6 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$153.42 / $176.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.07 (10.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.34%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$182.14 / $121.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.74 / $154.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$132.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.227Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.8 / 21.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134.75, invalidation $169.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 18.6 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$153.42 / $176.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.227Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.8 / 21.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.07 (10.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.34%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$182.14 / $121.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.74 / $154.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$132.66Range

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