US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

VST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $149.35 and stabilize above resistance $219.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $219.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.5, MACD -8.059

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.81 (22.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$154.99Bearish
EMA 21$149.35Bearish
EMA 50$113.31Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD -8.059

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $31.81 · BB 56.99%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.4 · OBV -13.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$32.67 - $219.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.98% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$251.63
Nearest resistance

+57.23% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$219.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$139.81
Nearest support

-76.63% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$32.67
Deeper support zone

-99.38% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$0.8628
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108 - $171.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.66, invalidation $171.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 4.9 / 16.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.39 / $120.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.81 (22.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$210.67 / $90.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108 / $171.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 18.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.66, invalidation $171.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 4.9 / 16.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.39 / $120.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 18.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.81 (22.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$210.67 / $90.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108 / $171.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.67Range

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