US stock / ETF

Vistra Corp.

VST · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

VST 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.79 and stabilize above resistance $219.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $219.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.4, MACD -8.041

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $30.74 (21.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$152.46Bearish
EMA 21$148.79Bearish
EMA 50$114.48Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD -8.041

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $30.74 · BB 58.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.8 · OBV -3.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$35.41 - $219.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.67% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$250.56
Nearest resistance

+50.6% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$219.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$145.96
Nearest support

-75.74% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$35.41
Deeper support zone

-96.8% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$4.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.22 - $176.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.66, invalidation $171.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 1.6 / 16.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.39 / $120.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.74 (21.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.51%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.69 / $93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.22 / $176.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.041Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.66, invalidation $171.35

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 1.6 / 16.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.39 / $120.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.041Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.74 (21.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.51%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.69 / $93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.22 / $176.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.41Range

Related Forecasts