US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

TDG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,215.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,263.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,263.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.3, MACD -4.297

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $25.45 (2.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,219.8Bearish
EMA 21$1,215.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,192.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.3 · MACD -4.297

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.45 · BB 6.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.5 · OBV -8.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,145 - $1,263.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.14% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$1,288.9
Nearest resistance

+5.02% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,263.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,203
Nearest support

-4.82% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,145
Deeper support zone

-6.94% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$1,119.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,177.5 - $1,228.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,248, invalidation $1,198.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 20.0 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,130.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,222.3 / $1,178.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$25.45 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.11%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,267.7 / $1,164.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,177.5 / $1,228.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,263.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,145Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.297Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,248, invalidation $1,198.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 20.0 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,130.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,222.3 / $1,178.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.297Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$25.45 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.11%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,267.7 / $1,164.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,177.5 / $1,228.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,263.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,145Range

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