US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TDG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,215.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,265.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,265.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD -2.195

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $10.47 (0.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,201.5Bearish
EMA 21$1,215.9Bearish
EMA 50$1,231.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD -2.195

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.47 · BB 7.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.6 · OBV -5.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,180.4 - $1,265.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.32% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$1,276.2
Nearest resistance

+5.45% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,265.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,200.4
Nearest support

-1.66% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,180.4
Deeper support zone

-2.53% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$1,169.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,189.9 - $1,210.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,180.4, invalidation $1,242.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 22.8 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,171.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,213.1 / $1,269.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.47 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.60%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,234.5 / $1,195.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,189.9 / $1,210.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,265.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.195Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 32.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,180.4, invalidation $1,242.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 22.8 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,171.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,213.1 / $1,269.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.195Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 32.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.47 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.60%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,234.5 / $1,195.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,189.9 / $1,210.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,265.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.4Range

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