US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

TDG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,125.6 and stabilize above resistance $1,157.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,157.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.3, MACD -5.062

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $13.99 (1.27%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,119.3Bearish
EMA 21$1,125.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,121.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.3 · MACD -5.062

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.99 · BB 4.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.6 · OBV 3.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1,091.1 - $1,157.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.46% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$1,171.1
Nearest resistance

+5.19% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,157.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,100
Nearest support

-0.81% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,091.1
Deeper support zone

-2.08% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$1,077.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,086 - $1,114

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,109.7, invalidation $1,141.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 14.8 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,049.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,123 / $1,118.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$13.99 (1.27%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.59%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,157.5 / $1,093.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,086 / $1,114Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,157.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,091.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.062Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 22.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-243.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,109.7, invalidation $1,141.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 14.8 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,049.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,123 / $1,118.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.062Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 22.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-243.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$13.99 (1.27%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.59%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,157.5 / $1,093.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,086 / $1,114Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,157.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,091.1Range

Related Forecasts