US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

TDG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,144.2 and stabilize above resistance $1,198.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,198 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.0, MACD 1.507

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $10.02 (0.88%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,136.1Bullish
EMA 21$1,144.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,165.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD 1.507

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $10.02 · BB 4.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.4 · OBV -0.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,120.5 - $1,198

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.94% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$1,208
Nearest resistance

+5.06% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,198
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,140.3
Nearest support

-1.74% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,120.5
Deeper support zone

-2.62% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$1,110.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,130.3 - $1,150.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,120.5, invalidation $1,141.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.5 / 24.6 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,107.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,139.6 / $1,173.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.02 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.28%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,164.7 / $1,122.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.3 / $1,150.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,198Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,120.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.507Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.1 / 40.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,120.5, invalidation $1,141.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.5 / 24.6 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,107.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,139.6 / $1,173.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.507Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.1 / 40.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$10.02 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.28%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,164.7 / $1,122.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.3 / $1,150.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,198Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,120.5Range

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