US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

TDG 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,223.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,263.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,263.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.8, MACD -4.599

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $8.64 (0.72%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,215.2Bearish
EMA 21$1,223.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,219.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD -4.599

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.64 · BB 4.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.1 · OBV -2.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,180.2 - $1,263.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.74% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$1,272
Nearest resistance

+5.02% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,263.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,203
Nearest support

-1.9% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,180.2
Deeper support zone

-2.62% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$1,171.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,194.4 - $1,211.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,248, invalidation $1,201.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 20.6 / 49.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,176.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,223.9 / $1,221.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.64 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.76%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,241.6 / $1,204.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,194.4 / $1,211.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,263.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.599Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.6 / 5.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.48xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,248, invalidation $1,201.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 20.6 / 49.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,176.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,223.9 / $1,221.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.599Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.6 / 5.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.64 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.76%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,241.6 / $1,204.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,194.4 / $1,211.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.48xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,263.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.2Range

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