US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

TDG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,229.5 and stabilize above resistance $1,359.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,359.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.9, MACD -5.675

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $19.85 (1.65%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,210.4Bearish
EMA 21$1,229.5Bearish
EMA 50$1,244.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.9 · MACD -5.675

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.85 · BB 8.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 59.0 · OBV -0.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,180.4 - $1,359.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.89% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$1,379.1
Nearest resistance

+13.24% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,359.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,200.4
Nearest support

-1.66% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,180.4
Deeper support zone

-3.32% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$1,160.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,180.5 - $1,220.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,265.8, invalidation $1,180.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 29.4 / 36.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,137.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,246.5 / $1,270.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$19.85 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.11%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,267.4 / $1,189.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,180.5 / $1,220.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,359.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.675Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.4 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,265.8, invalidation $1,180.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 29.4 / 36.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,137.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,246.5 / $1,270.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.675Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.4 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$19.85 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.11%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,267.4 / $1,189.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,180.5 / $1,220.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.94xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,359.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,180.4Range

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