US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

TDG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,176.5 and stabilize above resistance $1,361.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,361.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -8.520

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $61.1 (5.55%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,129Bearish
EMA 21$1,176.5Bearish
EMA 50$1,231Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -8.520

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $61.1 · BB 27.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.8 · OBV -36.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,071.3 - $1,361.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.35% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$1,422.9
Nearest resistance

+23.8% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,361.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,100
Nearest support

-2.61% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,071.3
Deeper support zone

-8.17% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$1,010.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,038.9 - $1,161.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,071.3, invalidation $1,359.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 17.6 / 18.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$966.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,182.6 / $1,267.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$61.1 (5.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.12%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,278.3 / $1,069.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,038.9 / $1,161.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,361.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,071.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.520Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,071.3, invalidation $1,359.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 17.6 / 18.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$966.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,182.6 / $1,267.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.520Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$61.1 (5.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.12%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,278.3 / $1,069.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,038.9 / $1,161.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,361.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,071.3Range

Related Forecasts