US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish73%
Monthly Downside probability 73%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,287.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.2, MACD -29.792

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $154.34 (12.01%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,282.9Bullish
EMA 21$1,287.9Bearish
EMA 50$1,134.9Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.2 · MACD -29.792

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $154.34 · BB 31.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV 18.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$818.12 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.4% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$1,778.2
Nearest resistance

+26.38% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,284.8
Nearest support

-36.33% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$818.12
Deeper support zone

-48.34% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$663.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,130.5 - $1,439.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 14.3 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$834.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$154.34 (12.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.34%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,587.8 / $993.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.5 / $1,439.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-29.792Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 33.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 14.3 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$834.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-29.792Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 33.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$154.34 (12.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.34%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,587.8 / $993.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.5 / $1,439.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.12Range

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