US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish72%
Monthly Downside probability 72%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,245.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.4, MACD -43.779

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $150.41 (13.67%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,192.3Bearish
EMA 21$1,245.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,127.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.4 · MACD -43.779

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $150.41 · BB 40.99%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -1.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$972.08 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+61.3% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$1,774.2
Nearest resistance

+47.62% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,100
Nearest support

-11.63% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$972.08
Deeper support zone

-25.3% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$821.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$949.58 - $1,250.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.1 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$646.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,301.8 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$150.41 (13.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.99%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,560.7 / $930.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$949.58 / $1,250.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$972.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-43.779Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 6.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.1 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$646.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,301.8 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-43.779Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 6.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$150.41 (13.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.99%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,560.7 / $930.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$949.58 / $1,250.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$972.08Range

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