US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish69%
Monthly Downside probability 69%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,245.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.3, MACD -33.964

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $149.61 (12.44%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,202.8Bullish
EMA 21$1,245.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,132.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD -33.964

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $149.61 · BB 40.62%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.8 · OBV -2.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,071.3 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.42% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$1,773.4
Nearest resistance

+34.98% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,203
Nearest support

-10.95% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,071.3
Deeper support zone

-23.39% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$921.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,053.4 - $1,352.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,071.3, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 14.1 / 16.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$740.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,282 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$149.61 (12.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.62%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,560.9 / $930.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,053.4 / $1,352.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,071.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-33.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.6 / 18.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,071.3, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.0 / 14.1 / 16.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$740.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,282 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-33.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.6 / 18.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$149.61 (12.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.62%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,560.9 / $930.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,053.4 / $1,352.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,071.3Range

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