US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish72%
Monthly Downside probability 72%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,265.1 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -39.339

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $159.03 (13.95%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,231.5Bearish
EMA 21$1,265.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,130.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -39.339

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $159.03 · BB 36.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.5 · OBV 3.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$950.94 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.35% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$1,782.9
Nearest resistance

+42.4% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,140.3
Nearest support

-16.61% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$950.94
Deeper support zone

-30.55% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$791.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$981.29 - $1,299.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 9.6 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$676.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,331.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$159.03 (13.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,582.4 / $950.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$981.29 / $1,299.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$950.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.339Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 13.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 9.6 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$676.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,331.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.339Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 13.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$159.03 (13.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,582.4 / $950.65Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$981.29 / $1,299.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$950.94Range

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