US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,284.2 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.3, MACD -37.081

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $160.78 (13.29%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,272.4Bearish
EMA 21$1,284.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,127Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.3 · MACD -37.081

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $160.78 · BB 32.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.7 · OBV 27.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$802.46 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.53% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$1,784.6
Nearest resistance

+34.24% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,209.7
Nearest support

-33.66% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$802.46
Deeper support zone

-46.95% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$641.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,048.9 - $1,370.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,463

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 15.5 / 19.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$819.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$160.78 (13.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.31%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,597.5 / $976.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,048.9 / $1,370.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$802.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-37.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,463

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.9 / 15.5 / 19.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$819.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-37.081Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$160.78 (13.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.31%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,597.5 / $976.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,048.9 / $1,370.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$802.46Range

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