US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish62%
Monthly Downside probability 62%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,280.2 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -35.184

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $163.89 (13.65%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,264.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,280.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,131.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -35.184

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $163.89 · BB 32.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.0 · OBV 11.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$818.12 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.93% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$1,787.7
Nearest resistance

+35.28% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,200.4
Nearest support

-31.84% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$818.12
Deeper support zone

-45.5% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$654.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,036.5 - $1,364.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 13.4 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$783.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$163.89 (13.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.67%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,606.5 / $958.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,036.5 / $1,364.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.184Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 13.4 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$783.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,333.5 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.184Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$163.89 (13.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.67%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,606.5 / $958.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,036.5 / $1,364.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.12Range

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