US stock / ETF

TransDigm Group Incorporated

TDG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

TDG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,244.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,623.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,623.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -44.392

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $146.86 (13.47%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,190.2Bearish
EMA 21$1,244.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,127Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -44.392

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $146.86 · BB 41.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.7 · OBV -4.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$972.08 - $1,623.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.39% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$1,770.7
Nearest resistance

+48.92% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,623.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,090.4
Nearest support

-10.85% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$972.08
Deeper support zone

-24.32% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$825.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$943.52 - $1,237.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.4 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$636.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,301.8 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$146.86 (13.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.25%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,549.9 / $939.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$943.52 / $1,237.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$972.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-44.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,123.6, invalidation $1,361.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.4 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$636.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,301.8 / $1,061.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-44.392Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$146.86 (13.47%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.25%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,549.9 / $939.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$943.52 / $1,237.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,623.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$972.08Range

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