US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $873.35 and stabilize above resistance $1,014.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,014 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -5.370

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $27.38 (3.22%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$854.86Bearish
EMA 21$873.35Bearish
EMA 50$874.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -5.370

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.38 · BB 26.28%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -33.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$811.56 - $1,014

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.59% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$1,041.4
Nearest resistance

+19.37% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,014
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$849.46
Nearest support

-4.46% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$811.56
Deeper support zone

-7.68% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$784.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$822.08 - $876.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $869.99, invalidation $834.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.0 / 12.7 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$784.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$879.5 / $887.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.38 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.28%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$915.53 / $829.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$822.08 / $876.84Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,014Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$811.56Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.370Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.6 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $869.99, invalidation $834.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.0 / 12.7 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$784.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$879.5 / $887.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.370Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.6 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.38 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.28%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$915.53 / $829.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$822.08 / $876.84Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,014Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$811.56Range

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