US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish64%
4h Downside probability 64%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,013.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,144.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,144.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -14.591

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $40.4 (4.17%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,027.6Bearish
EMA 21$1,013.9Bearish
EMA 50$945.25Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -14.591

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.4 · BB 19.04%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.5 · OBV -2.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$802.16 - $1,144.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.38% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$1,185.2
Nearest resistance

+18.21% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,144.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$968.44
Nearest support

-17.17% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$802.16
Deeper support zone

-21.34% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$761.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$928.04 - $1,008.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $984.65, invalidation $1,049.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.8 / 34.1 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$843.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,007.8 / $973.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$40.4 (4.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.04%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,107.8 / $924.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$928.04 / $1,008.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,144.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$802.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.591Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 20.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $984.65, invalidation $1,049.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.8 / 34.1 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$843.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,007.8 / $973.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.591Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 20.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$40.4 (4.17%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.04%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,107.8 / $924.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$928.04 / $1,008.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,144.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$802.16Range

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