US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish74%
4h Downside probability 74%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $855.1 and stabilize above resistance $924.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $924.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -7.325

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $22.92 (2.76%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$850.73Bearish
EMA 21$855.1Bearish
EMA 50$849.85Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -7.325

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.92 · BB 13.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.4 · OBV 1935.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$767.82 - $924.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.08% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$947.91
Nearest resistance

+11.32% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$924.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$830.9
Nearest support

-7.59% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$767.82
Deeper support zone

-10.35% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$744.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$807.98 - $853.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $817.69, invalidation $882.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 16.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$766.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$851.37 / $846.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$22.92 (2.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.36%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$897.6 / $813.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$807.98 / $853.82Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$924.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$767.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.325Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1935.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $817.69, invalidation $882.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 16.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$766.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$851.37 / $846.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.325Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$22.92 (2.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.36%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$897.6 / $813.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$807.98 / $853.82Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1935.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$924.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$767.82Range

Related Forecasts