US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $662.32 and stabilize above resistance $751.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $751.81 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.2, MACD -0.614

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $23.35 (3.69%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$643.87Bearish
EMA 21$662.32Bearish
EMA 50$705.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.2 · MACD -0.614

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.35 · BB 14.87%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV 19.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$609.99 - $751.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.65% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$775.16
Nearest resistance

+18.96% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$751.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$632
Nearest support

-3.48% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$609.99
Deeper support zone

-7.18% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$586.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$608.65 - $655.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $715.63, invalidation $609.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 11.9 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$556.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$659.65 / $710.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$23.35 (3.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.87%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$711.23 / $610.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$608.65 / $655.35Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$751.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$609.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.614Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $715.63, invalidation $609.99

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 11.9 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$556.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$659.65 / $710.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.614Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$23.35 (3.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.87%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$711.23 / $610.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$608.65 / $655.35Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$751.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$609.99Range

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