US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $879.44 and stabilize above resistance $937.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $937.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD 1.480

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $29.27 (3.36%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$878.71Bearish
EMA 21$879.44Bearish
EMA 50$897.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD 1.480

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.27 · BB 14.28%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV -12.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$789.8 - $937.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$966.81
Nearest resistance

+7.64% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$937.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$870.99
Nearest support

-9.32% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$789.8
Deeper support zone

-12.68% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$760.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$841.72 - $900.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $844.81, invalidation $915.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 19.4 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$791.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$871.96 / $952.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.27 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.28%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$934.09 / $824.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$841.72 / $900.26Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$937.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$789.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.480Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $844.81, invalidation $915.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 19.4 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$791.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$871.96 / $952.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.480Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.27 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.28%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$934.09 / $824.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$841.72 / $900.26Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$937.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$789.8Range

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