US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

STX 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $733.19 and stabilize above resistance $901.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $901.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.7, MACD -1.681

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $21.51 (3.11%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$699.63Bearish
EMA 21$733.19Bearish
EMA 50$783.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.7 · MACD -1.681

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.51 · BB 19.13%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV 29956.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$658.01 - $901.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.25% · 10.7 ATR above latest close

$923.01
Nearest resistance

+30.14% · 9.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$901.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$692.7
Nearest support

-5.01% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$658.01
Deeper support zone

-8.11% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$636.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$671.19 - $714.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $658.01, invalidation $751.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.2 / 9.4 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$631.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.9 / $804.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.51 (3.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.13%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$771.19 / $690.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$671.19 / $714.21Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$901.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$658.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.681Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29956.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $658.01, invalidation $751.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.2 / 9.4 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$631.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.9 / $804.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.681Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.3 / 24.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.51 (3.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.13%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$771.19 / $690.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$671.19 / $714.21Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29956.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$901.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$658.01Range

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