US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

STX 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $720.85 and stabilize above resistance $1,145.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,145 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -55.225

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $126.27 (23.16%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$645.88Bearish
EMA 21$720.85Bearish
EMA 50$632.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -55.225

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $126.27 · BB 65.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.5 · OBV -1.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$351.42 - $1,145

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+133.2% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$1,271.3
Nearest resistance

+110.04% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,145
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$545.14
Nearest support

-35.54% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$351.42
Deeper support zone

-58.7% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$225.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$418.87 - $671.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $946.36, invalidation $758.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 14.0 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$747.48 / $686.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.27 (23.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.41%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$965.65 / $475.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$418.87 / $671.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,145Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$351.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-55.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 8.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-193.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $946.36, invalidation $758.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 14.0 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$747.48 / $686.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-55.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 8.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-193.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.27 (23.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 65.41%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$965.65 / $475.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$418.87 / $671.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,145Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$351.42Range

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