US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

STX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $643.16 and stabilize above resistance $703.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $703 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD 1.615

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $11.2 (1.77%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$638.97Bearish
EMA 21$643.16Bearish
EMA 50$654.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD 1.615

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.2 · BB 6.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.9 · OBV -6.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$609.99 - $703

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.01% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$714.2
Nearest resistance

+11.23% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$703
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$632
Nearest support

-3.48% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$609.99
Deeper support zone

-5.25% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$598.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$620.8 - $643.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $655.46, invalidation $621

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 29.7 / 29.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$602.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$639.89 / $662.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.2 (1.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.62%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$662.14 / $623.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$620.8 / $643.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$703Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$609.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.615Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.4 / 57.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $655.46, invalidation $621

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 29.7 / 29.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$602.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$639.89 / $662.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.615Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.4 / 57.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.2 (1.77%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.62%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$662.14 / $623.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$620.8 / $643.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$703Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$609.99Range

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