US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish70%
1h Downside probability 70%Bearish

STX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $834.75 and stabilize above resistance $921.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $921.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.2, MACD -1.133

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $19.43 (2.34%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$826.5Bullish
EMA 21$834.75Bearish
EMA 50$835.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD -1.133

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.43 · BB 9.95%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 59.0 · OBV -0.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$782.08 - $921.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.14% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$941.2
Nearest resistance

+10.8% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$921.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$831.89
Nearest support

-5.99% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$782.08
Deeper support zone

-8.32% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$762.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$812.46 - $851.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $782.08, invalidation $839.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 23.5 / 27.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$767.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$835.52 / $834.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.43 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.95%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$877.23 / $791.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$812.46 / $851.32Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$921.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$782.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.133Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.9 / 51.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $782.08, invalidation $839.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 23.5 / 27.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$767.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$835.52 / $834.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.133Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.9 / 51.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.43 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.95%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$877.23 / $791.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$812.46 / $851.32Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.01xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$921.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$782.08Range

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