US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

STX 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,019.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,144.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,144.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.3, MACD -8.538

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $22.2 (2.29%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$990.42Bearish
EMA 21$1,019.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,021Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.3 · MACD -8.538

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.2 · BB 16.72%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.3 · OBV 6.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$953.47 - $1,144.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.5% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$1,167
Nearest resistance

+18.21% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,144.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$968.44
Nearest support

-1.55% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$953.47
Deeper support zone

-3.84% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$931.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$946.24 - $990.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,049.3, invalidation $984.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 25.5 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$894.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,020.7 / $1,049.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$22.2 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.72%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,062.2 / $973.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$946.24 / $990.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,144.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$953.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.538Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 8.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,049.3, invalidation $984.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.2 / 25.5 / 37.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$894.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,020.7 / $1,049.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.538Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 8.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$22.2 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.72%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,062.2 / $973.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$946.24 / $990.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,144.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$953.47Range

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