Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish69%
4h Downside probability 69%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,358.4 and stabilize above resistance 4,433.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,433.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD 1.681

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 6.89 (0.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,351.9Bearish
EMA 214,358.4Bearish
EMA 504,380.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD 1.681

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 6.89 · BB 1.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 53.2 · OBV 27.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
4,302 - 4,433.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.14% · 13.5 ATR above latest close

4,440.6
Nearest resistance

+1.98% · 12.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,433.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,347.8
Nearest support

-1.05% · 6.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,302
Deeper support zone

-1.21% · 7.6 ATR below latest close

4,295.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,340.9 - 4,354.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,360.5, invalidation 4,353.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 9.6 / 14.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,330.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,359.3 / 4,372.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

6.89 (0.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.23%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,368.9 / 4,346.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,340.9 / 4,354.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,433.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,302Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.681Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,360.5, invalidation 4,353.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 9.6 / 14.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,330.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,359.3 / 4,372.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.681Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

6.89 (0.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.23%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,368.9 / 4,346.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,340.9 / 4,354.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,433.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,302Range

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