Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish73%
4h Downside probability 73%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,163.2 and stabilize above resistance 4,230.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,230.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.8, MACD 0.096

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 18.15 (0.44%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,150.8Bearish
EMA 214,163.2Bearish
EMA 504,195.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD 0.096

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 18.15 · BB 1.77%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -562.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,122.1 - 4,230.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.43% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

4,248.4
Nearest resistance

+1.99% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,230.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,147.5
Nearest support

-0.61% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,122.1
Deeper support zone

-1.05% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

4,103.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,129.4 - 4,165.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,230.2, invalidation 4,143.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 4.1 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,102Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,165.4 / 4,211.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

18.15 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.77%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,192.9 / 4,131.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,129.4 / 4,165.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,230.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,122.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.096Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 11.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-562.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,230.2, invalidation 4,143.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.0 / 4.1 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,102Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,165.4 / 4,211.9Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.096Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 11.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

18.15 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.77%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,192.9 / 4,131.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,129.4 / 4,165.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-562.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,230.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,122.1Range

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