Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,105.7 and stabilize above resistance $4,216.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,216.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.7, MACD -13.374

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $44.25 (1.11%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4,053.5Bearish
EMA 21$4,105.7Bearish
EMA 50$4,159.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.7 · MACD -13.374

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $44.25 · BB 5.85%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.5 · OBV -10.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3,959 - $4,216.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.81% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$4,261.1
Nearest resistance

+5.7% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,216.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3,989.5
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3,959
Deeper support zone

-1.87% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$3,914.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,945.3 - $4,033.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,090.4, invalidation $4,193.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 1.8 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,845.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,068.6 / $4,166.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$44.25 (1.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.85%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,199.8 / $4,006.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,945.3 / $4,033.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,216.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,959Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.374Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-187.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,090.4, invalidation $4,193.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 1.8 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,845.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,068.6 / $4,166.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.374Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-187.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$44.25 (1.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.85%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,199.8 / $4,006.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,945.3 / $4,033.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,216.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,959Range

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