Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,043.2 and stabilize above resistance 4,200.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,200 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.4, MACD -1.893

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 20.84 (0.52%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,008.5Bearish
EMA 214,043.2Bearish
EMA 504,089Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.4 · MACD -1.893

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 20.84 · BB 4.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.3 · OBV -43.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,985 - 4,200

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.53% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

4,220.8
Nearest resistance

+5% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,200
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,999.8
Nearest support

-0.37% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,985
Deeper support zone

-0.89% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

3,964.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,979 - 4,020.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,994, invalidation 4,046.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.9 / 1.5 / 44.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,944.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,054 / 4,092.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

20.84 (0.52%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,075.1 / 4,006.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,979 / 4,020.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.893Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,994, invalidation 4,046.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.9 / 1.5 / 44.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,944.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,054 / 4,092.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.893Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

20.84 (0.52%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,075.1 / 4,006.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,979 / 4,020.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

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