Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,056.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,131.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,131.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD 1.986

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 29.81 (0.74%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,042Bullish
EMA 214,056.7Bearish
EMA 504,079.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD 1.986

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 29.81 · BB 3.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.4 · OBV 1.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
3,983.3 - 4,131.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.71% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

4,161.1
Nearest resistance

+1.97% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,131.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,051.5
Nearest support

-1.68% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,983.3
Deeper support zone

-2.42% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

3,953.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,021.7 - 4,081.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,983.3, invalidation 4,097.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.5 / 24.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,955.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,045.2 / 4,079Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.81 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.59%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,118.4 / 3,992.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,021.7 / 4,081.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,131.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,983.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.986Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.1 / 60.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,983.3, invalidation 4,097.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.5 / 24.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,955.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,045.2 / 4,079Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.986Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.1 / 60.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

29.81 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.59%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,118.4 / 3,992.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,021.7 / 4,081.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.97%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,131.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,983.3Range

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