Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish56%
4h Downside probability 56%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,055.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,113.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,113 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.8, MACD -0.434

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 15.96 (0.39%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,054.5Bullish
EMA 214,055.7Bullish
EMA 504,056.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.8 · MACD -0.434

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 15.96 · BB 0.82%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.3 · OBV 0.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
4,008.2 - 4,113

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.71% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

4,129
Nearest resistance

+1.32% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,113
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,059.4
Nearest support

-1.26% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,008.2
Deeper support zone

-1.66% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

3,992.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,043.5 - 4,075.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,021, invalidation 4,082.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 19.6 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,996.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,056.6 / 4,054.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

15.96 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.82%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,095.7 / 4,015.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,043.5 / 4,075.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,113Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,008.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.434Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 53.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,021, invalidation 4,082.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 19.6 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,996.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,056.6 / 4,054.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.434Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.1 / 53.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

15.96 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.82%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,095.7 / 4,015.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,043.5 / 4,075.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,113Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,008.2Range

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