Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish75%
Weekly Downside probability 75%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,283.1 and stabilize above resistance 5,459.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 5,459.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD -22.437

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 184.45 (4.61%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 84,194.9Bearish
EMA 214,283.1Bearish
EMA 504,241Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD -22.437

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 184.45 · BB 15.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.3 · OBV -34.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,944.6 - 5,459.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.11% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

5,644.1
Nearest resistance

+36.5% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

5,459.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,999.8
Nearest support

-1.38% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,944.6
Deeper support zone

-5.99% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

3,760.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,815.4 - 4,184.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,689

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 24.8 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,548.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,345.3 / 4,775.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

184.45 (4.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.35%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,641.3 / 3,916Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,815.4 / 4,184.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

5,459.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.437Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 21.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,689

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.9 / 24.8 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,548.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,345.3 / 4,775.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.437Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.5 / 21.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

184.45 (4.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.35%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,641.3 / 3,916Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,815.4 / 4,184.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

5,459.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

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