Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish91%
Weekly Downside probability 91%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,480.9 and stabilize above resistance $5,650.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $5,650.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.3, MACD -103.260

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $247.8 (6.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$4,343.8Bearish
EMA 21$4,480.9Bearish
EMA 50$4,242.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.3 · MACD -103.260

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $247.8 · BB 28.93%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.0 · OBV -50.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$3,918 - $5,650.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.01% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$5,898.7
Nearest resistance

+37.96% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$5,650.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$4,096.2
Nearest support

-4.35% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3,918
Deeper support zone

-10.4% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$3,670.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,848.3 - $4,344

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,026.5, invalidation $4,762.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 9.7 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,493.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,616.6 / $4,462.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$247.8 (6.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.93%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,917.1 / $4,044.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,848.3 / $4,344Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$5,650.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,918Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-103.260Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,026.5, invalidation $4,762.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.1 / 9.7 / 28.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,493.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,616.6 / $4,462.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-103.260Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$247.8 (6.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.93%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,917.1 / $4,044.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,848.3 / $4,344Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$5,650.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,918Range

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