Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,302.2 and stabilize above resistance 5,650.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 5,650.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -58.700

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 202.84 (5%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 84,129Bearish
EMA 214,302.2Bearish
EMA 504,206.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -58.700

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 202.84 · BB 23.37%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.7 · OBV 0.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,944.6 - 5,650.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.2% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

5,853.7
Nearest resistance

+39.2% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

5,650.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,059.4
Nearest support

-2.83% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,944.6
Deeper support zone

-7.83% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

3,741.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,856.6 - 4,262.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,762.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.6 / 4.4 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,448Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,465.8 / 4,476.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

202.84 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.37%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,695.9 / 3,895.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,856.6 / 4,262.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

5,650.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-58.700Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.0 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,762.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.6 / 4.4 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,448Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,465.8 / 4,476.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-58.700Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.0 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

202.84 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.37%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,695.9 / 3,895.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,856.6 / 4,262.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

5,650.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

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