Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,201.6 and stabilize above resistance 4,872.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,872.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.2, MACD -35.661

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 189.87 (4.87%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,066.8Bearish
EMA 214,201.6Bearish
EMA 504,208.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.2 · MACD -35.661

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 189.87 · BB 17.88%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.8 · OBV -33.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,853.6 - 4,872.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.92% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

5,062.7
Nearest resistance

+25.05% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,872.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,896.7
Nearest support

-1.11% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,853.6
Deeper support zone

-5.98% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

3,663.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,706.9 - 4,086.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,689

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 14.5 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,469.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,198.6 / 4,752.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

189.87 (4.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.88%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,544.4 / 3,845.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,706.9 / 4,086.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,872.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.661Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,944.6, invalidation 4,689

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 14.5 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,469.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,198.6 / 4,752.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.661Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

189.87 (4.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.88%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,544.4 / 3,845.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,706.9 / 4,086.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,872.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

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