Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,255.4 and stabilize above resistance $4,584.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,584.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -2.954

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $93.83 (2.29%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4,173.5Bearish
EMA 21$4,255.4Bearish
EMA 50$4,392.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -2.954

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $93.83 · BB 8.86%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.5 · OBV -85.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$4,026.5 - $4,584.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.22% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$4,678.4
Nearest resistance

+11.93% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,584.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$4,096.2
Nearest support

-1.7% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$4,026.5
Deeper support zone

-3.99% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$3,932.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4,002.3 - $4,190

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,374, invalidation $4,120

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.1 / 15.2 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,888.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,266 / $4,394.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$93.83 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.86%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,414.6 / $4,084.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,002.3 / $4,190Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,584.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4,026.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 32.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-85.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $4,374, invalidation $4,120

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.1 / 15.2 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,888.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,266 / $4,394.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 32.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-105.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$93.83 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.86%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,414.6 / $4,084.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,002.3 / $4,190Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-85.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,584.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$4,026.5Range

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