Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish62%
Daily Downside probability 62%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,107.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,374.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,374 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.2, MACD 2.773

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 74.62 (1.84%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,074Bearish
EMA 214,107.7Bearish
EMA 504,217.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 2.773

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 74.62 · BB 5.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.0 · OBV -39.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,944.6 - 4,374

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.8% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

4,448.6
Nearest resistance

+7.96% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,374
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,051.5
Nearest support

-2.64% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,944.6
Deeper support zone

-4.48% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

3,870
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,976.8 - 4,126.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,197, invalidation 4,021.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.4 / 15.9 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,830.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,085.4 / 4,264.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

74.62 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.36%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,244.9 / 3,964.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,976.8 / 4,126.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,374Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.773Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 38.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,197, invalidation 4,021.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.4 / 15.9 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,830.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,085.4 / 4,264.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.773Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 38.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

74.62 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.36%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,244.9 / 3,964.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,976.8 / 4,126.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,374Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,944.6Range

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