Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish77%
Daily Downside probability 77%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,131.3 and stabilize above resistance 4,375.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,375 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.0, MACD -10.996

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 50.4 (1.26%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,073.3Bearish
EMA 214,131.3Bearish
EMA 504,203.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.0 · MACD -10.996

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 50.4 · BB 5.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.4 · OBV -52.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,985 - 4,375

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.65% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

4,425.4
Nearest resistance

+9.39% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,375
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,999.3
Nearest support

-0.36% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,985
Deeper support zone

-1.62% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

3,934.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,948.9 - 4,049.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,200, invalidation 4,087.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 6.3 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,847.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,100.1 / 4,248.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

50.4 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.36%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,226.9 / 4,028.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,948.9 / 4,049.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,375Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.996Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 4.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-255.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,200, invalidation 4,087.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 6.3 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,847.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,100.1 / 4,248.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.996Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 4.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-255.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

50.4 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.36%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,226.9 / 4,028.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,948.9 / 4,049.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,375Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

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