Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish80%
Daily Downside probability 80%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,190.2 and stabilize above resistance 4,398.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,398.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.9, MACD 4.997

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 48.76 (1.18%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,157.1Bearish
EMA 214,190.2Bearish
EMA 504,249.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.9 · MACD 4.997

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 48.76 · BB 3.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV -262.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,084.1 - 4,398.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.24% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

4,447.2
Nearest resistance

+6.07% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,398.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,146.8
Nearest support

-1.51% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,084.1
Deeper support zone

-2.69% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

4,035.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,098 - 4,195.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,211.2, invalidation 4,084.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 17.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,987.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,188.6 / 4,386.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

48.76 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.76%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,291.2 / 4,083.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,098 / 4,195.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,398.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,084.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.997Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 40.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-262.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,211.2, invalidation 4,084.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.1 / 17.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,987.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,188.6 / 4,386.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.997Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 40.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

48.76 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.76%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,291.2 / 4,083.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,098 / 4,195.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-262.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,398.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,084.1Range

Related Forecasts