Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,259.4 and stabilize above resistance 4,512.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,512.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD -12.719

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 57.82 (1.39%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,192.2Bearish
EMA 214,259.4Bearish
EMA 504,305.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD -12.719

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 57.82 · BB 7.32%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.2 · OBV -330.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,122.1 - 4,512.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.17% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

4,570.2
Nearest resistance

+8.78% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,512.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,148.2
Nearest support

-0.63% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,122.1
Deeper support zone

-2.02% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

4,064.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,090.4 - 4,206

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,122.1, invalidation 4,375

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.8 / 8.5 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,976.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,249 / 4,405.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

57.82 (1.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.32%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,370.1 / 4,141Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,090.4 / 4,206Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,512.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,122.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.719Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 15.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-330.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,122.1, invalidation 4,375

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.8 / 8.5 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,976.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,249 / 4,405.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.719Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.3 / 15.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

57.82 (1.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.32%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,370.1 / 4,141Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,090.4 / 4,206Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-330.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,512.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,122.1Range

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