Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish84%
Daily Downside probability 84%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,015.8 and stabilize above resistance 4,211.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,211.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.0, MACD -5.095

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 71.29 (1.83%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 83,976.8Bearish
EMA 214,015.8Bearish
EMA 504,090.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.0 · MACD -5.095

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 71.29 · BB 7.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -22.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,853.6 - 4,211.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.9% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

4,282.4
Nearest resistance

+8.07% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,211.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,896.7
Nearest support

-1.11% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,853.6
Deeper support zone

-2.94% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

3,782.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,825.4 - 3,968

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,890, invalidation 4,134

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 29.8 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,652.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,011.1 / 4,109.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

71.29 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.23%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,177.7 / 3,848.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,825.4 / 3,968Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,211.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 19.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,890, invalidation 4,134

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 29.8 / 26.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,652.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,011.1 / 4,109.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 19.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

71.29 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.23%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,177.7 / 3,848.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,825.4 / 3,968Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,211.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

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