Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish60%
1h Downside probability 60%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 3,908 and stabilize above resistance 3,996.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 3,996 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.8, MACD 6.701

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 12.89 (0.33%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 83,899.8Bearish
EMA 213,908Bearish
EMA 503,947.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD 6.701

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 12.89 · BB 2.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.7 · OBV -26.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
3,853.6 - 3,996

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.88% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

4,008.9
Nearest resistance

+2.55% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

3,996
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,896.7
Nearest support

-1.11% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,853.6
Deeper support zone

-1.44% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

3,840.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,883.8 - 3,909.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,918.1, invalidation 3,873.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 34.1 / 15.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,859.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,905.9 / 3,956.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

12.89 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.35%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,932.9 / 3,880.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,883.8 / 3,909.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,996Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.701Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.2 / 78.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,918.1, invalidation 3,873.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 34.1 / 15.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,859.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,905.9 / 3,956.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.701Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.2 / 78.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

12.89 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.35%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

3,932.9 / 3,880.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,883.8 / 3,909.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

3,996Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

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