Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish84%
1h Downside probability 84%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $4,038.1 and stabilize above resistance $4,139.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $4,139.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.6, MACD -4.886

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $28.09 (0.7%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$4,002.5Bearish
EMA 21$4,038.1Bearish
EMA 50$4,082.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.6 · MACD -4.886

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $28.09 · BB 3.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.7 · OBV 8.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$3,959 - $4,139.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.47% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$4,167.6
Nearest resistance

+3.76% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$4,139.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$3,989.5
Nearest support

-0.76% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$3,959
Deeper support zone

-1.47% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$3,930.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$3,961.4 - $4,017.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3,969.2, invalidation $4,096.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 3.9 / 38.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,883.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,026 / $4,076.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$28.09 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.87%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,102.2 / $3,969.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,961.4 / $4,017.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,139.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,959Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.886Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.2 / 13.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $3,969.2, invalidation $4,096.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 3.9 / 38.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,883.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$4,026 / $4,076.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.886Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.2 / 13.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$28.09 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.87%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$4,102.2 / $3,969.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$3,961.4 / $4,017.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$4,139.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3,959Range

Related Forecasts