Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,004.6 and stabilize above resistance 4,046.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,046.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.4, MACD 1.047

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 4.25 (0.11%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 83,999.8Bullish
EMA 214,004.6Bearish
EMA 504,024Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD 1.047

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 4.25 · BB 0.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV -4.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,985 - 4,046.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.26% · 11.9 ATR above latest close

4,050.3
Nearest resistance

+1.16% · 10.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,046.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,999.8
Nearest support

-0.37% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,985
Deeper support zone

-0.48% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

3,980.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,995.6 - 4,004.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,985, invalidation 4,006.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 10.3 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,983.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,998 / 4,029.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

4.25 (0.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.36%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,014.3 / 3,994Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,995.6 / 4,004.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,046.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.047Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.1 / 59.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 3,985, invalidation 4,006.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 10.3 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,983.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,998 / 4,029.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.047Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.1 / 59.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

4.25 (0.11%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.36%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,014.3 / 3,994Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,995.6 / 4,004.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,046.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

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