Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish64%
12h Downside probability 64%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,095.5 and stabilize above resistance 4,211.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,211.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.8, MACD -14.495

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 37.82 (0.95%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,043.6Bearish
EMA 214,095.5Bearish
EMA 504,151.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.8 · MACD -14.495

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 37.82 · BB 5.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.8 · OBV -43.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,985 - 4,211.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.23% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

4,249
Nearest resistance

+5.28% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,211.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,999.8
Nearest support

-0.37% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,985
Deeper support zone

-1.32% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

3,947.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,962 - 4,037.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,200, invalidation 4,115

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 14.6 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,866.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,095.3 / 4,107.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

37.82 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.92%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,178.8 / 4,007Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,962 / 4,037.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,211.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.495Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,200, invalidation 4,115

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 14.6 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,866.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,095.3 / 4,107.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.495Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

37.82 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.92%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,178.8 / 4,007Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,962 / 4,037.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,211.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,985Range

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