Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,386 and stabilize above resistance 4,623.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,623.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -0.940

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 46.22 (1.06%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 84,357.7Bearish
EMA 214,386Bearish
EMA 504,404.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -0.940

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 46.22 · BB 3.64%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.5 · OBV -48.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
4,287 - 4,623.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.42% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

4,670.1
Nearest resistance

+6.35% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,623.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

4,347.8
Nearest support

-1.4% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

4,287
Deeper support zone

-2.46% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

4,240.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

4,301.5 - 4,394

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,302, invalidation 4,405

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 12.3 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,217.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,383.8 / 4,488Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

46.22 (1.06%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.64%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,472.3 / 4,295.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,301.5 / 4,394Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,623.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,287Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.940Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,302, invalidation 4,405

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 12.3 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

4,217.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

4,383.8 / 4,488Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.940Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

46.22 (1.06%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.64%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,472.3 / 4,295.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

4,301.5 / 4,394Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,623.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

4,287Range

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