Cryptocurrency

PAX Gold / TetherUS

PAXGUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish89%
12h Downside probability 89%Bearish

PAXGUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 4,004.7 and stabilize above resistance 4,137.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 4,137.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD -19.862

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 47.73 (1.22%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 83,967.1Bearish
EMA 214,004.7Bearish
EMA 504,037.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD -19.862

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 47.73 · BB 6.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.2 · OBV -3.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
3,853.6 - 4,137.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.4% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

4,184.9
Nearest resistance

+6.17% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

4,137.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

3,896.7
Nearest support

-1.11% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

3,853.6
Deeper support zone

-2.33% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

3,805.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

3,849 - 3,944.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,134, invalidation 4,032.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.1 / 10.2 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,724.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,994.6 / 4,026.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

47.73 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.70%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,120.1 / 3,886.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,849 / 3,944.5Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,137.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 11.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-176.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 4,134, invalidation 4,032.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.1 / 10.2 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

3,724.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

3,994.6 / 4,026.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 11.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-176.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

47.73 (1.22%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.70%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

4,120.1 / 3,886.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

3,849 / 3,944.5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

4,137.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

3,853.6Range

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