US stock / ETF

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

MTB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $218.34 and stabilize above resistance $223.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.096

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.46 (0.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$217.41Bearish
EMA 21$218.34Bearish
EMA 50$222Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.096

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.46 · BB 3.26%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 76.2 · OBV 0.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$211.89 - $223.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.79% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$224.84
Nearest resistance

+3.12% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$216.63
Nearest support

-2.19% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$211.89
Deeper support zone

-2.86% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$210.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$215.17 - $218.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.16, invalidation $215.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 38.1 / 24.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.52 / $223.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.46 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.26%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.35 / $215.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$215.17 / $218.09Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.096Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.5 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.16, invalidation $215.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 38.1 / 24.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.52 / $223.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.096Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.5 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.46 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.26%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.35 / $215.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$215.17 / $218.09Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.89Range

Related Forecasts