US stock / ETF

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

MTB 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $232.82 and stabilize above resistance $242.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $242.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.9, MACD -1.175

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.64 (1.17%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$228.65Bearish
EMA 21$232.82Bearish
EMA 50$236.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.9 · MACD -1.175

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.64 · BB 9.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.3 · OBV 33.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$222.89 - $242.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.4% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$245.38
Nearest resistance

+7.24% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$242.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$226.36
Nearest support

-1.53% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$222.89
Deeper support zone

-2.7% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$220.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$223.72 - $229

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.89, invalidation $239.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.0 / 8.3 / 50.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$217.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.12 / $232.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.64 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.30%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$238.48 / $226.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.72 / $229Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$242.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.175Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

33.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.89, invalidation $239.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.0 / 8.3 / 50.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$217.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.12 / $232.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.175Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.6 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.64 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.30%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$238.48 / $226.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.72 / $229Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

33.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$242.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.89Range

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