US stock / ETF

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish57%
Weekly Downside probability 57%Bearish

MTB 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $230.02 and stabilize above resistance $255.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.2, MACD -4.192

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.97 (4.6%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$227.85Bearish
EMA 21$230.02Bearish
EMA 50$220.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.2 · MACD -4.192

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.97 · BB 19.97%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV 31.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$193.95 - $255.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.63% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$265.65
Nearest resistance

+18.02% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$216.63
Nearest support

-10.47% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$193.95
Deeper support zone

-15.07% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$183.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$206.66 - $226.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.68, invalidation $202.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 12.8 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.48 / $215.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.97 (4.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.97%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$250.17 / $210.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$206.66 / $226.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.192Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.68, invalidation $202.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 12.8 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.48 / $215.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.192Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.97 (4.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.97%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$250.17 / $210.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$206.66 / $226.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.95Range

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