US stock / ETF

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish72%
Weekly Downside probability 72%Bearish

MTB 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $227.49 and stabilize above resistance $255.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -3.507

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.64 (4.36%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$223.73Bearish
EMA 21$227.49Bearish
EMA 50$220.34Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -3.507

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.64 · BB 20.73%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.6 · OBV -6.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$193.95 - $255.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.88% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$265.31
Nearest resistance

+15.53% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.31
Nearest support

-12.37% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$193.95
Deeper support zone

-16.72% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$184.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$211.67 - $230.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.46, invalidation $211.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 6.7 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$228.18 / $217.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.64 (4.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.73%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.66 / $208.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$211.67 / $230.95Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.507Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.8 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.46, invalidation $211.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 6.7 / 31.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$228.18 / $217.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.507Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.8 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.64 (4.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.73%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$246.66 / $208.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$211.67 / $230.95Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.95Range

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