US stock / ETF

Moody's Corporation

MCO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

MCO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $472.98 and stabilize above resistance $507.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $507.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -0.075

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.42 (0.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$467.51Bearish
EMA 21$472.98Bearish
EMA 50$481.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -0.075

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.42 · BB 3.88%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 48.9 · OBV -2.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$462.65 - $507.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.12% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$512.07
Nearest resistance

+9.17% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$507.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$465.03
Nearest support

-0.51% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$462.65
Deeper support zone

-1.46% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$458.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$460.6 - $469.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $462.65, invalidation $471.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.3 / 32.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$453.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.25 / $491.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.42 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.88%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$481.27 / $463.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$460.6 / $469.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$507.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$462.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.2 / 6.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $462.65, invalidation $471.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.3 / 32.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$453.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.25 / $491.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.075Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.2 / 6.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.42 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.88%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$481.27 / $463.87Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$460.6 / $469.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$507.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$462.65Range

Related Forecasts