US stock / ETF

Moody's Corporation

MCO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

MCO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $450.18 and stabilize above resistance $472.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $472.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -0.774

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $6.92 (1.54%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$448.44Bullish
EMA 21$450.18Bearish
EMA 50$450.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -0.774

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.92 · BB 7.09%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.7 · OBV -71.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$438.27 - $472.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.61% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$479.22
Nearest resistance

+5.07% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$472.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$449.52
Nearest support

-2.5% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$438.27
Deeper support zone

-4.04% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$431.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$442.59 - $456.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $458.93, invalidation $442.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 21.3 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$429.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$451.94 / $450.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.92 (1.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.09%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$463.42 / $436.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$442.59 / $456.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$472.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$438.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.774Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.0 / 18.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $458.93, invalidation $442.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 21.3 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$429.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$451.94 / $450.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.774Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.0 / 18.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.92 (1.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.09%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$463.42 / $436.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$442.59 / $456.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$472.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$438.27Range

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