US stock / ETF

Moody's Corporation

MCO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish68%
Monthly Downside probability 68%Bearish

MCO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $469.17 and stabilize above resistance $546.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $546.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.6, MACD -6.102

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $51.31 (11.03%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$475.4Bearish
EMA 21$469.17Bearish
EMA 50$426.77Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -6.102

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $51.31 · BB 19.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.3 · OBV -13.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$360.05 - $546.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.64% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

$598.19
Nearest resistance

+17.6% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$546.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$465.03
Nearest support

-22.57% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$360.05
Deeper support zone

-33.61% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$308.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$413.72 - $516.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.28, invalidation $523.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 15.4 / 18.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$312.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.69 / $388.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.31 (11.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.61%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$585.69 / $354.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$413.72 / $516.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$546.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 56.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.28, invalidation $523.31

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 15.4 / 18.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$312.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.69 / $388.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 56.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.31 (11.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.61%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$585.69 / $354.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$413.72 / $516.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$546.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.05Range

Related Forecasts