US stock / ETF

Moody's Corporation

MCO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

MCO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $474.13 and stabilize above resistance $523.31.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $523.31 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.6, MACD -0.998

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.26 (5.35%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$474.74Bearish
EMA 21$474.13Bearish
EMA 50$472.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD -0.998

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.26 · BB 15.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.8 · OBV -8.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$422.16 - $523.31

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.22% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$548.57
Nearest resistance

+10.87% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$523.31
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$472.02
Nearest support

-10.56% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$422.16
Deeper support zone

-15.91% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$396.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$446.76 - $497.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $438.01, invalidation $520.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 17.8 / 19.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$400.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$474.87 / $474.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.26 (5.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.65%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$528.38 / $420.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$446.76 / $497.28Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$523.31Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$422.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.998Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.1 / 50.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $438.01, invalidation $520.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.8 / 17.8 / 19.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$400.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$474.87 / $474.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.998Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.1 / 50.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.26 (5.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.65%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$528.38 / $420.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$446.76 / $497.28Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$523.31Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$422.16Range

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