US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

LI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $12.09 and stabilize above resistance $12.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $12.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.7, MACD -0.125

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1747 (1.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$11.96Bearish
EMA 21$12.09Bearish
EMA 50$11.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.7 · MACD -0.125

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1747 · BB 9.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 12.8 · OBV -77.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.96 - $12.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.16% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$12.99
Nearest resistance

+9.67% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$12.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.69
Nearest support

-6.24% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.96
Deeper support zone

-7.74% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$10.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.52 - $11.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.82, invalidation $12.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 18.8 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.18 / $11.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1747 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.29%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.4 / $11.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.52 / $11.86Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.125Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 1.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.82, invalidation $12.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 18.8 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.18 / $11.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.125Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 1.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1747 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.29%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.4 / $11.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.52 / $11.86Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.96Range

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