US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

LI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.48 and stabilize above resistance $15.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $15.71 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 23.0, MACD -0.066

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2561 (2.06%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$12.85Bearish
EMA 21$13.48Bearish
EMA 50$14.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 23.0 · MACD -0.066

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2561 · BB 18.82%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -64.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$12.33 - $15.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.5% · 13.8 ATR above latest close

$15.97
Nearest resistance

+26.44% · 12.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$15.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.43
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.33
Deeper support zone

-2.83% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$12.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$12.17 - $12.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.33, invalidation $14.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 4.2 / 60.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.3 / $14.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2561 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.82%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14 / $12.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.17 / $12.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.066Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12.33, invalidation $14.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 4.2 / 60.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.3 / $14.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.066Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2561 (2.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.82%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14 / $12.88Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.17 / $12.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-64.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$15.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

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