US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

LI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.47 and stabilize above resistance $12.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $12.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.7, MACD -0.024

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1944 (1.71%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$11.44Bearish
EMA 21$11.47Bearish
EMA 50$11.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD -0.024

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1944 · BB 7.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.8 · OBV -7.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$11.05 - $12.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.68% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$12.26
Nearest resistance

+5.97% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$12.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.39
Nearest support

-2.99% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.05
Deeper support zone

-4.69% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$10.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.2 - $11.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.64, invalidation $11.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 25.7 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.45 / $11.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1944 (1.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.54%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.82 / $11.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.2 / $11.58Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.64, invalidation $11.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 25.7 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$11.45 / $11.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 34.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1944 (1.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.54%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$11.82 / $11.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.2 / $11.58Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.05Range

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