US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $11.96 and stabilize above resistance $12.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $12.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.6, MACD -0.026

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1576 (1.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.83Bearish
EMA 21$11.96Bearish
EMA 50$12.11Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.6 · MACD -0.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1576 · BB 9.51%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.8 · OBV -3.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.48 - $12.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.31% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$12.89
Nearest resistance

+7.97% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$12.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.79
Nearest support

-2.63% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.48
Deeper support zone

-3.97% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$11.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.63 - $11.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12, invalidation $11.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 14.1 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.01 / $12.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1576 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.51%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.22 / $11.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.63 / $11.95Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.48Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 17.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $12, invalidation $11.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 14.1 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.01 / $12.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 17.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1576 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.51%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$12.22 / $11.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.63 / $11.95Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$12.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.48Range

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