US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $16.47 and stabilize above resistance $20.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.7, MACD -0.378

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.46 (11.54%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.72Bearish
EMA 21$16.47Bearish
EMA 50$18.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.7 · MACD -0.378

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.46 · BB 45.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.2 · OBV -146.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$12.33 - $20.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+77.6% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$22.4
Nearest resistance

+66.06% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.61
Nearest support

-2.22% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.33
Deeper support zone

-13.76% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$10.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.15 - $14.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $17.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

22.0 / 17.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.21 / $22.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.46 (11.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.07%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.25 / $13.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.15 / $14.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.6 / 5.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-189.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-146.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $17.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

22.0 / 17.3 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$16.21 / $22.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.6 / 5.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-189.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.46 (11.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.07%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.25 / $13.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.15 / $14.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-146.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

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