US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish82%
Weekly Downside probability 82%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $15.4 and stabilize above resistance $20.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -0.342

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.32 (10.34%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$13.42Bearish
EMA 21$15.4Bearish
EMA 50$18.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -0.342

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.32 · BB 60.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -7.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.65 - $20.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.48% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$21.41
Nearest resistance

+57.14% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.79
Nearest support

-8.88% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-19.22% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$10.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.46 - $14.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $11.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 14.2 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.1 / $21.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.32 (10.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.76%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.16 / $12.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.46 / $14.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.342Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 7.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $11.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 14.2 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.1 / $21.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.342Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.4 / 7.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.32 (10.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.76%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.16 / $12.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.46 / $14.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

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