US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish74%
Weekly Downside probability 74%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $12.53 and stabilize above resistance $20.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.222

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.9530 (8.15%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.72Bearish
EMA 21$12.53Bearish
EMA 50$15.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.222

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.9530 · BB 22.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV 3.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$10.66 - $20.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+80.01% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$21.04
Nearest resistance

+71.86% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.69
Nearest support

-8.81% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.66
Deeper support zone

-16.96% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$9.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.74 - $12.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.04, invalidation $10.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 16.2 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.79 / $15.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9530 (8.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.81%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.41 / $10.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.74 / $12.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.9 / 41.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.04, invalidation $10.92

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 16.2 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$12.79 / $15.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.9 / 41.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9530 (8.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.81%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.41 / $10.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.74 / $12.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

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