US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $12.78 and stabilize above resistance $20.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.2, MACD 0.108

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.9746 (8.56%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$11.63Bearish
EMA 21$12.78Bearish
EMA 50$15.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.2 · MACD 0.108

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9746 · BB 26.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -2.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.66 - $20.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+84.94% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$21.06
Nearest resistance

+76.38% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.39
Nearest support

-6.41% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.66
Deeper support zone

-14.97% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$9.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.42 - $12.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.66, invalidation $14.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 16.5 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.54 / $16.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9746 (8.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.92%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.54 / $10.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.42 / $12.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.108Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.6 / 22.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $10.66, invalidation $14.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 16.5 / 12.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$13.54 / $16.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.108Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.6 / 22.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9746 (8.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.92%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.54 / $10.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.42 / $12.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

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