US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish82%
Weekly Downside probability 82%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $15.37 and stabilize above resistance $20.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.8, MACD -0.362

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.3 (10.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$13.35Bearish
EMA 21$15.37Bearish
EMA 50$18.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.8 · MACD -0.362

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.3 · BB 61.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.7 · OBV -7.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.65 - $20.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.51% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$21.39
Nearest resistance

+61.11% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.47
Nearest support

-6.58% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-16.98% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$10.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$11.17 - $13.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $11.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 12.6 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.1 / $21.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.3 (10.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.35%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.07 / $12.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.17 / $13.77Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.09, invalidation $11.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 12.6 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.1 / $21.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.3 (10.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.35%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$18.07 / $12.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$11.17 / $13.77Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Related Forecasts