US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish91%
Weekly Downside probability 91%Bearish

LI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $13.83 and stabilize above resistance $20.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.8, MACD 0.072

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.06 (8.97%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$12.51Bearish
EMA 21$13.83Bearish
EMA 50$16.61Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.8 · MACD 0.072

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.06 · BB 60.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.5 · OBV -7.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.62 - $20.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.08% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$21.15
Nearest resistance

+70.11% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.81
Nearest support

-1.61% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.62
Deeper support zone

-10.58% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$10.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.75 - $12.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $14.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 18.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.34 / $19.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.06 (8.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.44%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.71 / $11.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.75 / $12.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.072Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $14.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 18.2 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.34 / $19.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.072Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.06 (8.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.44%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$15.71 / $11.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.75 / $12.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.62Range

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