US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.36 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD -0.730

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.5 (26.84%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.39Bearish
EMA 21$19.36Bearish
EMA 50$23.05Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD -0.730

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.5 · BB 104.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.9 · OBV -94.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.65 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+282.7% · 10.5 ATR above latest close

$49.94
Nearest resistance

+255.86% · 9.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$13.05
Nearest support

-10.73% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-37.56% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$8.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$9.55 - $16.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.4 / 9.9 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.13 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.5 (26.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 104.42%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.77 / $13.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.55 / $16.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.730Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 5.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-94.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.4 / 9.9 / 32.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.13 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.730Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.9 / 5.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.5 (26.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 104.42%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.77 / $13.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.55 / $16.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-94.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

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