US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.32 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.6, MACD -0.552

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.81 (24.04%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$13.19Bearish
EMA 21$17.32Bearish
EMA 50$21.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.6 · MACD -0.552

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.81 · BB 121.23%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.2 · OBV -76.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.66 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+321.3% · 13.4 ATR above latest close

$49.25
Nearest resistance

+297.26% · 12.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.69
Nearest support

-8.81% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.66
Deeper support zone

-32.85% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$7.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.88 - $14.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 8.5 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.63 / $28.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.81 (24.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.23%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.14 / $11.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.88 / $14.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.552Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 3.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 8.5 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.63 / $28.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.552Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 3.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.81 (24.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 121.23%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.14 / $11.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.88 / $14.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-76.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

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