US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.92 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.7, MACD -0.858

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.65 (28.54%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.88Bearish
EMA 21$19.92Bearish
EMA 50$23.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.7 · MACD -0.858

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.65 · BB 98.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.1 · OBV -121.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.65 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+291.77% · 10.2 ATR above latest close

$50.09
Nearest resistance

+263.24% · 9.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.79
Nearest support

-8.88% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-37.41% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$9.14 - $16.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 11.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.34 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.65 (28.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.41%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.06 / $13.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.14 / $16.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.858Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 2.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 11.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.34 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.858Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 2.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.65 (28.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.41%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.06 / $13.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.14 / $16.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

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