US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17.92 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.6, MACD -0.674

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.99 (26.22%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$13.7Bearish
EMA 21$17.92Bearish
EMA 50$22.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.6 · MACD -0.674

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.99 · BB 115.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.5 · OBV -95.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$10.66 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+333.95% · 12.7 ATR above latest close

$49.43
Nearest resistance

+307.73% · 11.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.39
Nearest support

-6.41% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$10.66
Deeper support zone

-32.63% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$7.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.4 - $14.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 8.1 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.63 / $28.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.99 (26.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 115.61%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.78 / $12.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.4 / $14.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.674Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.4 / 3.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-95.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 8.1 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$18.63 / $28.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.674Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.4 / 3.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.99 (26.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 115.61%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.78 / $12.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.4 / $14.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-95.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$10.66Range

Related Forecasts