US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.89 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.878

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.62 (29.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$15.81Bearish
EMA 21$19.89Bearish
EMA 50$23.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.878

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.62 · BB 98.97%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.1 · OBV -121.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.65 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+301.47% · 10.4 ATR above latest close

$50.06
Nearest resistance

+272.41% · 9.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.47
Nearest support

-6.58% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-35.64% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$8.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.85 - $16.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 11.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.34 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.62 (29.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.97%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.96 / $13.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.85 / $16.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.878Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 1.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 11.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.34 / $29.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.878Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 1.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.62 (29.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.97%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.96 / $13.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.85 / $16.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

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