US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.61 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.728

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.13 (26.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.47Bearish
EMA 21$18.61Bearish
EMA 50$22.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.728

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.13 · BB 114.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.2 · OBV -159.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$11.62 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+319.69% · 12.1 ATR above latest close

$49.57
Nearest resistance

+293.23% · 11.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$11.81
Nearest support

-1.61% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$11.62
Deeper support zone

-28.07% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$8.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.68 - $14.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 7.7 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.11 / $29.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.13 (26.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.42%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.55 / $13.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.68 / $14.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.728Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.2 / 4.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-159.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 7.7 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.11 / $29.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.728Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.2 / 4.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.13 (26.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.42%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.55 / $13.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.68 / $14.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-159.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.62Range

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