US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

LI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.71 and stabilize above resistance $46.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $46.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.6, MACD -0.821

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.87 (30.66%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$16.95Bearish
EMA 21$20.71Bearish
EMA 50$23.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.6 · MACD -0.821

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.87 · BB 87.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.0 · OBV -117.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.33 - $46.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+298.94% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$50.31
Nearest resistance

+268.28% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$46.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.61
Nearest support

-2.22% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$12.33
Deeper support zone

-32.88% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$8.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$8.74 - $16.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $32.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.4 / 17.8 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.02 / $29.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.87 (30.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.77%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.29 / $13.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.74 / $16.48Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.821Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.4 / 5.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-117.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $15.71, invalidation $32.02

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.4 / 17.8 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.02 / $29.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.821Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.4 / 5.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.87 (30.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.77%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.29 / $13.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$8.74 / $16.48Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-117.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$46.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

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