US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish64%
3M Downside probability 64%Bearish

LI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.49 and stabilize above resistance $47.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $47.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.68 (85.62%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$18.59Bearish
EMA 21$23.49Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.68 · BB 119.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.1 · OBV -63.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$11.65 - $47.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+368.14% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$58.38
Nearest resistance

+282.52% · 3.3 ATR above · 25-bar high

$47.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.47
Nearest support

-6.58% · 0.1 ATR below · 25-bar low

$11.65
Deeper support zone

-92.2% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$0.9731
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.79 - $23.15

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$14.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.68 (85.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 119.85%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.31 / $5.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.79 / $23.15Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 5.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $11.65, invalidation $20.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$14.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 5.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.68 (85.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 119.85%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.31 / $5.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.79 / $23.15Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$11.65Range

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