US stock / ETF

Li Auto Inc.

LI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish57%
3M Downside probability 57%Bearish

LI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $24.67 and stabilize above resistance $47.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $47.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.08 (87.9%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.53Bearish
EMA 21$24.67Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.08 · BB 105.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.0 · OBV -547.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$12.33 - $47.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+365.78% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$58.73
Nearest resistance

+277.87% · 3.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$47.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$12.61
Nearest support

-2.22% · 0.0 ATR below · 24-bar low

$12.33
Deeper support zone

-90.12% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$1.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.53 - $23.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.02, invalidation $19.11

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$16.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.08 (87.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.94%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$46.19 / $2.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.53 / $23.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-547.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.02, invalidation $19.11

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$16.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.08 (87.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.94%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$46.19 / $2.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.53 / $23.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-547.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$12.33Range

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