US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

JPM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $355.84 and stabilize above resistance $365.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $365.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -0.015

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.21 (0.62%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$355.04Bearish
EMA 21$355.84Bearish
EMA 50$356.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -0.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.21 · BB 2.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 57.0 · OBV -4.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$350.39 - $365.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.79% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$367.71
Nearest resistance

+3.16% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$365.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$354.29
Nearest support

-1.1% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$350.39
Deeper support zone

-1.72% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$348.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$352.08 - $356.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.23, invalidation $358

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 8.2 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$348.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$354.96 / $359.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.13%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$359.84 / $351.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$352.08 / $356.5Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$365.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$350.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.8 / 35.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $352.23, invalidation $358

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 8.2 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$348.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$354.96 / $359.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.8 / 35.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.13%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$359.84 / $351.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$352.08 / $356.5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$365.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$350.39Range

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