US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

JPM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $333.18 and stabilize above resistance $343.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $343.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD 0.387

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.32 (0.7%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$332.1Bearish
EMA 21$333.18Bearish
EMA 50$337.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD 0.387

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.32 · BB 1.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 81.1 · OBV -6.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$325.87 - $343.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.3% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$345.63
Nearest resistance

+3.6% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$343.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$331.39
Nearest support

-1.67% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$325.87
Deeper support zone

-2.37% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$323.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$329.08 - $333.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $333.79, invalidation $330.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 13.6 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$326.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.41 / $340.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.76%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$336.67 / $329.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$329.08 / $333.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$343.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.387Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 51.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $333.79, invalidation $330.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 13.6 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$326.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.41 / $340.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.387Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 51.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.76%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$336.67 / $329.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$329.08 / $333.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$343.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.87Range

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