US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

JPM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $351.98 and stabilize above resistance $362.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $362.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -0.347

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.3 (1.23%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$350.01Bearish
EMA 21$351.98Bearish
EMA 50$354.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -0.347

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.3 · BB 3.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.0 · OBV -8.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$343.07 - $362.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.3% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$367.25
Nearest resistance

+4.07% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$362.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$348.75
Nearest support

-1.63% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$343.07
Deeper support zone

-2.86% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$338.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$344.45 - $353.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $343.07, invalidation $355.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 8.0 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$333.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$350.32 / $353.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.3 (1.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.74%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.86 / $341.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$344.45 / $353.05Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$362.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$343.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 32.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $343.07, invalidation $355.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 8.0 / 34.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$333.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$350.32 / $353.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 32.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.3 (1.23%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.74%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.86 / $341.86Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$344.45 / $353.05Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$362.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$343.07Range

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