US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish56%
4h Downside probability 56%Bearish

JPM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $328.35 and stabilize above resistance $343.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $343.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 53.0, MACD -0.927

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.26 (1.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$332.67Bearish
EMA 21$328.35Bearish
EMA 50$319.55Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.0 · MACD -0.927

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.26 · BB 7.08%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV 11.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$296.79 - $343.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.09% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$348.3
Nearest resistance

+4.49% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$343.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$328.32
Nearest support

-9.6% · 6.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$296.79
Deeper support zone

-11.21% · 7.0 ATR below latest close

$291.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$323.05 - $333.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $343.04, invalidation $324.16

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 23.1 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$316.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.68 / $319.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.26 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.08%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$338.25 / $319.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$323.05 / $333.58Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$343.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$296.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.927Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.0 / 42.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $343.04, invalidation $324.16

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.9 / 23.1 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$316.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$330.68 / $319.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.927Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.0 / 42.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.26 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.08%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$338.25 / $319.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$323.05 / $333.58Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$343.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$296.79Range

Related Forecasts