US stock / ETF

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

JPM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $334.43 and stabilize above resistance $344.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $344.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.9, MACD -0.011

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.48 (0.74%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$334.1Bullish
EMA 21$334.43Bullish
EMA 50$334.85Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD -0.011

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.48 · BB 1.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.5 · OBV -2.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$330.4 - $344.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.7% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$346.88
Nearest resistance

+2.96% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$344.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$334.5
Nearest support

-1.23% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$330.4
Deeper support zone

-1.97% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$327.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$332.02 - $336.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.4, invalidation $336.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 23.1 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$327.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$334.89 / $332.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.48 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.62%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$339.08 / $329.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332.02 / $336.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$330.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.011Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.0 / 60.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.4, invalidation $336.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 23.1 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$327.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$334.89 / $332.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.011Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.0 / 60.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.48 (0.74%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.62%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$339.08 / $329.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332.02 / $336.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$344.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$330.4Range

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